OTE Race at Tampa - Pace and Cap

PeteC · 03-13-2010, 12:51 PM

Hi everyone-

Here's one at Tampa today that looks to me like an OTE. I'm projecting a pace of 22.1 45.3. Many of these seem to need the lead or be in 2nd position early to win. The horse that look to be further back positionally and run well are:

#1 22.1 45.4 58.4 112.2 4-4 4-2.5 2-2 2-.75
#2 22.1 45.1 58.2 111.2 4-.75 2-hd 1-1 1-4.5
#4 22.3 45.4 112.1 118.4 7-9 7-11 5-2 1-1.75
#10 22.1 45.2 57.4 111.2 7-7 7-5 5-4 3-3

Of these contenders, I think #2 is the fastest. He's my top pick and I'll take #10 for 2nd.

Any other takes on this race?

Charlie D · 03-13-2010, 01:32 PM

Hi Pete

#1 Venado and #2 Tabby Lane for moi.

Charlie D · 03-13-2010, 02:01 PM

Peter

On #10, my gut, instict, intuition, "Minds Eye" is telling me that

22.1 45.2 57.4 111.2 7-7 7-5 5-4 3-3

was maybe a result of a collapse in front.

If similar happens here to E, P types here he could repeat the line above. #10 does look one to definitely include in Exacta's, Tri's here though.

Good Skill

raceman5 · 03-13-2010, 02:38 PM

I will take an exacta box 2-5-7 and bet the 2 longest odds horses to win .50 super 2-5-7-8

Bob

tfm · 03-13-2010, 02:39 PM

While this appears to set up nicely for the

with all the speed in the race, I think the

stands out here. Won't bet unless I get 3:1, however.

PeteC · 03-13-2010, 02:41 PM

Thanks Charlie-

Your point brings up a common question for me. In a race like this, will the #2 get sucked along with the other earlies and not have enough left late, thus leaving the race to collapse for a horse like #10? Or, will the #2 just be able to sit a little more off the pace and be in front of #10 the whole way?

Charlie D · 03-13-2010, 02:51 PM

#2's overall "picture" Peter says to me sits 3rd or 4th , so with that in mind i think he should be ok.

We'll find out soon anyway.

Good Skill

Charlie D · 03-13-2010, 03:03 PM

Exacta Peter

Matchin bud

PeteC · 03-13-2010, 03:09 PM

Thanks Charlie! It's fun when a plan comes together!

Charlie D · 03-13-2010, 03:57 PM

Chart

03-13-2010, 02:01 PM	#3
Charlie D Match Up Apprentice Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 2,105	Peter On #10, my gut, instict, intuition, "Minds Eye" is telling me that 22.1 45.2 57.4 111.2 7-7 7-5 5-4 3-3 was maybe a result of a collapse in front. If similar happens here to E, P types here he could repeat the line above. #10 does look one to definitely include in Exacta's, Tri's here though. Good Skill __________________ "To me, The Match Up supercedes everything" Last edited by Charlie D; 03-13-2010 at 02:07 PM.

03-13-2010, 02:51 PM	#7
Charlie D Match Up Apprentice Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 2,105	#2's overall "picture" Peter says to me sits 3rd or 4th , so with that in mind i think he should be ok. We'll find out soon anyway. Good Skill __________________ "To me, The Match Up supercedes everything" Last edited by Charlie D; 03-13-2010 at 02:53 PM.

03-13-2010, 03:03 PM	#8
Charlie D Match Up Apprentice Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 2,105	Exacta Peter Matchin bud __________________ "To me, The Match Up supercedes everything"

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03-13-2010, 01:32 PM	#2
Charlie D Match Up Apprentice Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 2,105	Hi Pete #1 Venado and #2 Tabby Lane for moi. __________________ "To me, The Match Up supercedes everything"

03-13-2010, 02:38 PM	#4
raceman5 Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2007 Location: Largo Fl. Posts: 2,295	Peter I will take an exacta box 2-5-7 and bet the 2 longest odds horses to win .50 super 2-5-7-8 Bob

03-13-2010, 02:39 PM	#5
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	While this appears to set up nicely for the with all the speed in the race, I think the stands out here. Won't bet unless I get 3:1, however.

03-13-2010, 02:41 PM	#6
PeteC Grade 1 Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 611	Thanks Charlie- Your point brings up a common question for me. In a race like this, will the #2 get sucked along with the other earlies and not have enough left late, thus leaving the race to collapse for a horse like #10? Or, will the #2 just be able to sit a little more off the pace and be in front of #10 the whole way?

03-13-2010, 03:09 PM	#9
PeteC Grade 1 Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 611	Thanks Charlie! It's fun when a plan comes together!

03-13-2010, 03:57 PM	#10
Charlie D Match Up Apprentice Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 2,105	Chart Attached Images __________________ "To me, The Match Up supercedes everything"