Curlin Stakes r7 SAR 7/29/22

[rdiam]

Curlin Stakes r7 7/29/22, post time 4:18 pm EDT

Pace Lines:

1 -- three back (Apr 2)

2 -- one back (Jul 4)

3 -- one back (May 30)

4 -- two back (Dec 17)

5 -- five back (Feb 12)

6 -- SCRATCHED

7 -- two and three back (May 21 and May 7)

8 -- one and two back (Jul 4 and Jun 5)

9 -- one back (Jun 10)

Handicapping:

1 -- breeding (by Tapit), top speed fig from last race, decent workouts

2 -- breeding (by Medaglio D'Oro), decent workouts

3 -- good workouts, sharp trainer (Joseph)

4 -- breeding (by Neolithic), decent workouts, best early speed

5 -- breeding (by Ghostzapper), decent workouts, switches to Gaffalione

7 -- top quality workouts, best closer in field, projects to run top race today,

8 -- breeding (by Uncle Mo), switches to Saez

9 -- breeding (Arrogate), from Brown barn with Irad up, decent workouts

Main Win Contenders (As): 7-9-1

Backup Win Contenders (Bs): 8

Possible Win Contenders (Cs): 5

Tosses: 2-3-4

Suggested Bets:

Win bets 1,8

Ex 5/7,8,9

Ex 9/1,5,8

Ex 7/1,5,8

(Skipping the 7-9 combo, likely to be underlaid)

Good luck

Richard

[57viking]

Richard, why did you suggest a win bet on the 1 and 8 versus the exacta bet on the 5


Jim

[darmar]

Good luck today Richard
Darryl

[rdiam]

57: in an 8 horse field did not want to make 3 win bets (didn't think I would get at least 5-1 on each).

Richard

[Ted Craven]

Going with 3-7-9-1 Best Early #3 and Best Late/Closer #7

#7 no longer an Uncoupled Entry with #6 scratch

Pletcher Uncoupled Entry #4 - longer priced compared to #8 could pick up 3rd or 4th

Will wait for current Odds to structure wagers, though something like Win 3-7, Exacta 3-7 / 3-7-9-1 seeking minimum even odds Exacta return.

Good luck to all!

[Lt1]

Good luck Richard and Ted and anyone else playing the race.
Tim

[rdiam]

Results:

9-2-7-3

I did not have the place horse.

Richard

[Ted Craven]

Originally Posted by rdiam

Results:

9-2-7-3

I did not have the place horse.

Richard

Me either - nice race, thanks!

Ted

[ranchwest]

RDSS has a screen with the 7 primary pace factors. I don't know which screen, as I use my own private software, not RDSS. I have a similar screen where I had the 9 as best in everything except hidden. What did RDSS have on that screen?

My lines:
1 4
2 1
3 1
4 2
5 4
6 scratch
7 3
8 2
9 1

[Ted Craven]

Ranch - using your lines -

The 7 Primary factors


Rx Oddsline


Factor values and ranks are somewhat dependent on how/if you apply Daily and Inter-Track variant adjustments.

Nice 'capping!

Ted