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Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) Interactive Teaching & Learning - Race Conditions, Contenders, Pacelines, Advanced Concepts, Betting ...

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Old 06-25-2022, 08:09 PM   #51
CEW
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Tim,

What is the underlying reason the longer priced uncoupled entry horse wins so often?

Chuck
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Old 06-25-2022, 08:48 PM   #52
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Tim,

What is the underlying reason the longer priced half of an uncoupled entry wins so often?
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Old 06-26-2022, 10:31 AM   #53
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Hi Chuck. The only thing that I can say is that it was explained to me that in most cases[enter as a rabbit is one exception] the trainer feels either one can win the race no matter what the morning line odds maker or public think.
Tim
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Old 06-26-2022, 10:51 AM   #54
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Well we had another one at Parx on Saturday June 25 Race 11 Trainer Steve Hamilton has two entered
#3 Dizzy Gillespie @39/1 and #13 Ahsad @37/1. They came in 1st & 2nd for a $2 Exactor of $3,142.40
The odds on favorite was a neck behind and tripped a .50 Tri of $5771.10
Darryl
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Old 06-26-2022, 10:56 AM   #55
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Darryl - That is an eye opener!

Tim - I'm adding this to my checklist on the first pass through the PPs.

Many thanks -

Chuck
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Old 06-26-2022, 03:00 PM   #56
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Your welcome Chuck. That's what this site is about sharing info to help each other win.
Tim
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Old 06-26-2022, 05:37 PM   #57
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If I may add.

Generally, the shorter the field the less likely the longer priced of
a trainer's entries will be a threat.
Our multiple-entry trainer could be making sure the race fills.
Especially if it's a condition which runs like clockwork at your track such as 2 weeks or more often.

Look for common ownership. If no common ownership, one being used as a rabbit for the other isn't as likely either.

Stakes events, graded or not, I don't think the above applies as well.

Remember we're saying generally.
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Old 06-26-2022, 09:54 PM   #58
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Good point MJ. Folks remember it's an angle and not a handicapping factor. For those with time it might be helpful to keep a list of trainers that score with this angle a good amount of the time they enter 2 horses in a race. Maybe you can pick up a viable pattern.
Tim
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Old 07-02-2022, 01:07 PM   #59
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Thanks Tim
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Old 07-16-2022, 09:12 PM   #60
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Los Alamitos Race 5 7/8 Doug O'Neil had two horses entered that were uncoupled. One entry was the 4/5 favorite, the other went off at 18/1. Guess who won and paid 39 dollars.
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