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Races of Interest *Detailed* Discussion of Races – Screen shots, decisions, post-mortems

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Old 06-10-2017, 12:13 PM   #1
Bill V.
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Belmont Stakes

Hello from Del Mar


Grade 1 3-year-olds 1,500,000


I really don't think i will be betting this race with any serious money
No horse has any paceline at a comparable distance and these are still only 3-year-olds.

I have had success in the past using my own idea, since this is a 12 furlong race and the 3rd fractions are a question,
I hand enter my lines into Entropy but I set the distance of the race to
9.5 furlongs based on Hat's marathon ideas about looking at horses at the mile point.

I then take my top 5 from Entropy and run them to thoromation.
I try to stop the animated horses at what I consider the mile point of the race

Each screen shot shows my RDSS Phase 1 on top
and Thoromation on the bottom

My highly unique method using Thoromation but based on a 9.5 distance

10, 8, 6,

Good Skill
New York-New York

Bill

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1 adjust

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2 adjust

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Old 06-10-2017, 01:49 PM   #2
Lt1
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Hi Bill. I go down to 9f on these 12f races. Did it in the 3rd and hit the winner for $10 .the ex cold for $65.50 and the ti and super. Did the same yesterday to get a $6 winner. As far as the Belmont goes none of them excite me. So far I'm leaning toward 2-12-7-10-3.
Tim
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Old 06-10-2017, 01:54 PM   #3
Bill V.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lt1 View Post
Hi Bill. I go down to 9f on these 12f races. Did it in the 3rd and hit the winner for $10 .the ex cold for $65.50 and the ti and super. Did the same yesterday to get a $6 winner. As far as the Belmont goes none of them excite me. So far I'm leaning toward 2-12-7-10-3.
Tim
Sounds real good Tim

I once went down to 8 furlongs, The horse was Richards Kid using KGEN I won some kind of a daily contest on Paceadvantage,
I remember Richie getting a big kick out of my "method"
GS
Bill

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Old 06-10-2017, 02:11 PM   #4
Lt1
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If I remember right didn't Jimmy cut the marathons down to 8f for capping purposes.
Tim
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Old 06-10-2017, 02:33 PM   #5
Bill V.
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can't remember exactly

The matchers can verify but I think your correct, I do know Hat said to look at the mile times
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Old 06-10-2017, 02:54 PM   #6
Mark
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This is a dart throw for me. However, off that Illinois Derby line the #10 looks to be the horse. The best 3 year olds are in the barn so something other than that will win this. My other play will be the #9 catching everyone by surprise grabbing the lead, slowing it down and taking them all the way around. No telling how good this horse is but appears to me to be sitting on a big race.
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Old 06-10-2017, 06:26 PM   #7
DaveEdwards
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2 & 12 split 60:40 in the time honoured tradition.
7 running out of steam come the stretch for me, which probably means it wins doing cartwheels!
Good skill to one & all.
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Old 06-10-2017, 06:35 PM   #8
Mitch44
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Taking a small shot with improving 3 yr. olds:
1-8-9-10 no specific order for these. Better odds on 9 & 10
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Old 06-10-2017, 06:53 PM   #9
Bill V.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DaveEdwards View Post
2 & 12 split 60:40 in the time honoured tradition.
7 running out of steam come the stretch for me, which probably means it wins doing cartwheels!
Good skill to one & all.
Wow, Congrats to Dave!


You called it !! Good Skill indeed

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Old 06-10-2017, 07:03 PM   #10
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Thanks very much Bill, appreciate that.

It wouldn't have happened without your starting this site & RDSS!

Also, Lt1 might have had a slice of that tasty Super dividend!
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