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Races of Interest *Detailed* Discussion of Races – Screen shots, decisions, post-mortems |
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10-19-2009, 09:19 PM | #11 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Hello FTL
This race is a good example of winning races or winning money
What I look at is final rankings of horses. Back in the day the 3 horse would have been a low price "hide" horse. I have been working on my ability to profit on the few races a day or even week that I can work. When I worked the race my readouts showed me that the 3 would have the lead at the 2nd call ( it did) Yet the energy dynamics of the contenders in the race as measured by there relation to the dream race, was that the 3's decleration and entropy would cause the race to be won by the 1 or the 6 Thats what I have to dance with ... the readouts of my Sartin Methodology program doing this while following a set of paceline, contender selection and eliminations documented in manuals has been working for years Just reading follow ups and above all following Docs guidelines to believe in what I do and not be influenced by somebody who ought to know cause he is smarter than me. Has always been the only thing I could ever truly believe in Myself The readouts said 3 was early but its early advantage was not enough to allow it to hang on because of Entropy and that the sustained and Sustained horses would catch it I missed this one but I know why and that is a good thing too Bill |
10-19-2009, 10:14 PM | #12 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 1,292
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Quote:
Thanks for that very sound explanation. Personally, at those low odds, I would not have bet the #3 either.
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"It's suppose to be hard. If it was easy, everybody would do it." Jimmy Dugan, A League of Their Own |
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