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Races of Interest *Detailed* Discussion of Races – Screen shots, decisions, post-mortems

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Old 04-26-2016, 05:59 PM   #51
lone speed
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Link to free 2016 Kentucky Derby past performances

Hot off the press!!

Link to free Bris pps or Drf pps:

https://downthestretchs.com/tag/free-pps/
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Old 04-26-2016, 06:23 PM   #52
lone speed
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Bris Derby 2016 Past Performances

Drf pps are available through above link:

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Old 04-26-2016, 06:25 PM   #53
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Old 04-26-2016, 06:26 PM   #54
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Old 04-26-2016, 06:55 PM   #55
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missing pps

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Old 04-28-2016, 12:08 AM   #56
Ryan.p.coli
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Heads up they revised Gun Runner's BRIS figure from 104 to 100 (which is more consistent with Equibase, DRF and TimeformUS)....

As an aside... That Comparison of Mohayman to Thunder Gulch was very interesting.

Have to think Danzing Candy runs a different race if Mike Smith doesn't push the horse to 45.24 in slop. Even at 46 flat he looked like he had energy left in the tank in the race prior.

This is so wide open, should be exciting
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Old 04-28-2016, 09:13 PM   #57
lone speed
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A few comparisons

Trainers can be creature of habits... I wanted to show a past Derby entrant of trainer Kiaran McLaughlin in the 2005 Kentucky Derby with Closing Argument; compare Mohaymen's last Derby prep race in the Florida Derby with Closing Argument's last Derby prep race in the Blue Grass Stakes;

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Now I want to compare Nyquist's performance in the Florida Derby with Barbaro's performance in the Florida Derby in 2006.

It seems that Nyquist ran a similar race as Barbaro's Florida Derby race but the similarities end there. I believe that the big question mark for trainer Matz was if Barbaro would run well on dirt as Barbaro ran well in his first three lifetime starts on turf races with big sustained fractions in all three turf races.

Barbaro's Holy Bull performances removed all doubt as he was up close to the blistering pace and ran a respectable 9 furlong performance.

Now, I have a hard time finding a respectable sustained performance in any of Nyquist's races. This is just my two cents....
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Old 05-04-2016, 06:07 PM   #58
lone speed
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Post position draw and morning line odds

Here is a quick look of the 2016 Kentucky Derby field: post positions and odds

1. Trojan Nation - 50
2. Suddenbrekingnews - 20
3. Creator - 10
4. Mo Tom - 20
5. Gun Runner - 10
6. My Man Sam - 20
7. Oscar Nominated - 50
8. Lani - 30
9. Destin - 15
10. Whitmore - 20
11. Exaggerator - 8
12. Tom's Ready - 30
13. Nyquist - 3
14. Mohaymen - 10
15. Outwork - 15
16. Shagaf - 20
17. Mor Spirit - 12
18. Majesto - 30
19. Brody's Cause - 12
20. Danzing Candy - 15

Last edited by lone speed; 05-04-2016 at 06:19 PM.
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Old 05-04-2016, 06:32 PM   #59
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Updated

2016 Kentucky Derby Saturday May 7,2016

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