RDSS 2.0 E/L data to look at

[seattlesnake]

By throwin out the R/R horses(63% & up) that are overrated..... we should be buyin tickets to ride the E train till the trend changes...

[BJennet]

Originally Posted by seattlesnake

By throwin out the R/R horses(63% & up) that are overrated..... we should be buyin tickets to ride the E train till the trend changes...

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Attachment 21816

Hi Snake,

Thanks for continuing to post your results. Just to clear up what seems confusing in the results from MNR - it looks looks like the RR horse won only one race, the 4th on 4/17, not 6. Although the four contenders plus the RR horse were 22/30 for 73%, so far their typical win rate, by mixing the RR with the results for the E1 and E2, it somewhat confuses the issue. This is consistent with Bill Lyster's finding for MNR on the poor performance of RR.

One thing that jumps out from these results, is that the crowd really hammers the E1/RR combination. It appears to have little or no value. But they overlook the E1 when its not coupled with the RR horse. It would be interesting to see if this is universally true.

Cheers,

B Jennet

[seattlesnake]

[seattlesnake]

Originally Posted by BJennet

Hi Snake,

it looks looks like the RR horse won only one race, the 4th on 4/17, not 6.

Hi B,
There were 6 winners in that 3 day span that we consider R/R but were below the 63% throwouts ...and there are 2 winners that were above 63% in that same span...19Apr 2nd along with 17Apr 3rd.. that won at a short price who were above the threshold...

[BJennet]

Originally Posted by seattlesnake

Hi B,
There were 6 winners in that 3 day span that we consider R/R but were below the 63% throwouts ...and there are 2 winners that were above 63% in that same span...19Apr 2nd along with 17Apr 3rd.. that won at a short price who were above the threshold...

Hi Snake,

What I'm trying to do is distinguish between races won by the RR, with no other 'support' (i.e. not also E1 or E2) which all but one of the RR winners, Race 4 on 4/17, had. I think this is what Bill might have been referring to, when he said that the RR horse didn't win much at MNR. For my own interest, I'm curious as to whether the tendency for a horse to be early, without any accompanying 'ability' has value in itself. The answer so far seems to be, 'not much'.

If I'm understanding this correctly, the RR only becomes a 'contender' when his percentage is over 62%.

Cheers,

B. Jennet