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04-27-2011, 02:26 PM | #11 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar"
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Quote:
Bill |
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04-27-2011, 02:56 PM | #12 |
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Join Date: May 2008
Location: Staten Island, NY
Posts: 3,952
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So far ..things going good ...2 winners over 7/2
ex tri super in 5th race 6 interesting...throwing out dominant early #2...so far hes 5-1 the 2's %E is 5pt rule but the other earlies have higher speed numbers which wins out here?
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Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack Last edited by mikesal57; 04-27-2011 at 03:00 PM. |
04-27-2011, 02:59 PM | #13 |
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Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Allentown, PA
Posts: 224
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Ted,
In Tam6 i would use the 2 @ 29% and meets POR. #3 and #9 are tie @ 18% and SR and may need tiebreaker rule, but I would use the 6 with the high sr. Using Bris speed figs i end up on 2,3,1,8. Looking at your screenshot i end up with 2,6,7,1. Tam7 and Tam9 both look good to me and come up the same with Bris srs. Chris |
04-27-2011, 03:07 PM | #14 |
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Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Allentown, PA
Posts: 224
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Mike,
I usually box 4 horses in exacta which can include one low odds horse. If there are 2 horses at less then 7/2 i generally skip the exacta or key the to high odds over all 4 horses. Tam6, my contenders are 2,3,1,8. If odds remain as they are now, I will bet $2 win on 2,3,8 and prob box the 4 horses hoping the 1 misses or only gets 2nd. Chris |
04-27-2011, 03:11 PM | #15 | |
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada
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Quote:
Ted
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RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™ |
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04-27-2011, 03:14 PM | #16 |
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Location: Allentown, PA
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beaten by the chalk
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04-27-2011, 03:30 PM | #17 |
Grade 1
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Staten Island, NY
Posts: 3,952
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TAMPA 7th...
This is what I dont believe in.... the 6 beats out the 9 because of the jockey %...but the 9 is 2 times better to get the lead over the 6 (30% vs 13%)..interesting again
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Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack |
04-27-2011, 03:44 PM | #18 |
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Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Allentown, PA
Posts: 224
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FWIW,
I guess it depends on how you look at it (or interpret the rules), I may be bending them a little. the 9 and 10 are virtually even to me in %. I imagining two speed horses battling for the lead. So between the 30% #9 and the 27% #10 I chose the 10. Now I should prob take the 9 over the 6 but with my srs the 6 is 5 points higher. Still adapting to new pace. Chris |
04-27-2011, 03:53 PM | #19 |
Former member
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 1,136
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I mean, isn't it obvious from the race sequence of the 10 that she was going to be able to control the race on the front end today? She routes on the front end, then she sprints (21.87 1st fraction). Only a rushed ride by the jock got her beat today.
Last edited by tfm; 04-27-2011 at 03:58 PM. |
04-27-2011, 03:54 PM | #20 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Allentown, PA
Posts: 224
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Uncle!
I done for today. Quit while I'm behind.
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