Follow Up On Rmaths' 4 Number System - Pace and Cap

Lt1 · 04-25-2022, 12:04 PM

Richie and I would talk daily about our selections and how he used the 4 number approach. The main factor was that horses having all 4 numbers[with at least 1 #3 rank] were winning between 85 to 90% of the races. Richie had and extensive data base. Since his untimely passing there hasn't been much in the way of follow ups on the approach. With this in mind I decided to conduct another 100 race survey. The tracks involved were Parx, MVR,LRL, and GP. The survey included all class levels[mdns to Stks] of the races I capped. Here are the results

Winning Horses with all 4 #s[with at least 1 #3 ranking]
80 of 100
Winning Horse with all 4 #s[no #3 ranking]
6 of 100
Winning Horses with 3 #s[regardless of rankings]
9 of 100
Winning Horse with 2 #s
2 of 100
Winning Horses with 1 #
2 of 100
Winning horse with 0 #s
1 of 100
So folks 86% of my winners had all 4 numbers and 9% had 3 numbers. In my humble opinion that's a pretty powerful stat and validates all of Richies' hard work and unselfish sharing of the info. I suggest that folks also read his longshot play approach.
Tim

Lt1 · 04-25-2022, 12:52 PM

Should have added the minimum field size was 8.
Tim

cratman · 04-25-2022, 04:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lt1

Should have added the minimum field size was 8.
Tim

Great information. thanks.

Lt1 · 04-25-2022, 05:05 PM

You are welcome but all the credit goes to my late friend Richie Mathie. He was such a caring and sharing person and of course a great capper. Doc. acknowledged him several times in the F/U by posting several of his many signers from MNR where he was known as the computer guy. We suffered a great loss with his passing.
Tim

shoeless · 04-26-2022, 02:27 PM

Thanks Tim for the update

Lt1 · 04-26-2022, 03:50 PM

You are welcome Jeff.
Tim

tom · 04-26-2022, 04:09 PM

Good stuff, Tim.
Always pays to re-validate from time to time, to either make adjustments or fuel your confidence.

Lt1 · 04-26-2022, 04:11 PM

Thanks Tom.
Tim

Bill Lyster · 04-28-2022, 11:27 AM

Tim, was your information as it relates to CSR just as it comes originally from RDSS or do the ratings numbers for CSR reflect an occasional need to recalculate based on one or more bad races in the last four running lines.

Thanks,

Lt1 · 04-28-2022, 12:06 PM

Hi Bill. All the info listed here was based on my final numbers[including any adj to CSR#].
Tim

04-25-2022, 12:04 PM	#1
Lt1 Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2012 Location: Valley Stream NY Posts: 9,121	Follow Up On Rmaths' 4 Number System Richie and I would talk daily about our selections and how he used the 4 number approach. The main factor was that horses having all 4 numbers[with at least 1 #3 rank] were winning between 85 to 90% of the races. Richie had and extensive data base. Since his untimely passing there hasn't been much in the way of follow ups on the approach. With this in mind I decided to conduct another 100 race survey. The tracks involved were Parx, MVR,LRL, and GP. The survey included all class levels[mdns to Stks] of the races I capped. Here are the results Winning Horses with all 4 #s[with at least 1 #3 ranking] 80 of 100 Winning Horse with all 4 #s[no #3 ranking] 6 of 100 Winning Horses with 3 #s[regardless of rankings] 9 of 100 Winning Horse with 2 #s 2 of 100 Winning Horses with 1 # 2 of 100 Winning horse with 0 #s 1 of 100 So folks 86% of my winners had all 4 numbers and 9% had 3 numbers. In my humble opinion that's a pretty powerful stat and validates all of Richies' hard work and unselfish sharing of the info. I suggest that folks also read his longshot play approach. Tim __________________ Trust but verify

04-25-2022, 12:52 PM	#2
Lt1 Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2012 Location: Valley Stream NY Posts: 9,121	Should have added the minimum field size was 8. Tim __________________ Trust but verify

04-25-2022, 05:05 PM	#4
Lt1 Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2012 Location: Valley Stream NY Posts: 9,121	You are welcome but all the credit goes to my late friend Richie Mathie. He was such a caring and sharing person and of course a great capper. Doc. acknowledged him several times in the F/U by posting several of his many signers from MNR where he was known as the computer guy. We suffered a great loss with his passing. Tim __________________ Trust but verify

04-26-2022, 03:50 PM	#6
Lt1 Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2012 Location: Valley Stream NY Posts: 9,121	You are welcome Jeff. Tim __________________ Trust but verify

04-26-2022, 04:11 PM	#8
Lt1 Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2012 Location: Valley Stream NY Posts: 9,121	Thanks Tom. Tim __________________ Trust but verify

04-26-2022, 02:27 PM	#5
shoeless Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 4,151	Thanks Tim for the update

04-26-2022, 04:09 PM	#7
tom Grade 1 Join Date: Jan 2006 Posts: 644	Good stuff, Tim. Always pays to re-validate from time to time, to either make adjustments or fuel your confidence.

04-28-2022, 11:27 AM	#9
Bill Lyster Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar" Posts: 2,418	Tim, was your information as it relates to CSR just as it comes originally from RDSS or do the ratings numbers for CSR reflect an occasional need to recalculate based on one or more bad races in the last four running lines. Thanks,

04-28-2022, 12:06 PM	#10
Lt1 Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2012 Location: Valley Stream NY Posts: 9,121	Hi Bill. All the info listed here was based on my final numbers[including any adj to CSR#]. Tim __________________ Trust but verify

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