Evangeline - Friday night - Pace and Cap

RichieP · 07-09-2010, 07:13 AM

Here is tonight's 7 race going 8f on the dirt. Interesting mix of early and e/p guys some of which can go multiple styles. Then toss in 2 sprinters in the mix and .....

RichieP · 07-09-2010, 07:15 AM

...

RichieP · 07-09-2010, 07:17 AM

,,.

RichieP · 07-09-2010, 07:18 AM

.,.

PeteC · 07-09-2010, 01:33 PM

Hi Rich-

This one looks very tough to me...

The early scenario:
#10 looks to be a NTL and looking at line 2 I see a win vs 24.4 48.4 113.4

I considered 1,2,6, and 9 earlies as well with the ability to win OTE or at least without needing the early lead.

I do not see #10 maintaining its comfort zone, so he's out.

#6 and #9 look to be the fastest horses in the early group that also project to get their desired position. I give a slight edge to #9.

Of the OTE's I give the edge to #7, who comes of a fast sprint and shows a decent finish vs a fast pace routing in line 9. Still, I lean to #9 to take this race.

Good luck, and thanks for the race. Have a good weekend!

Capcondo · 07-09-2010, 07:10 PM

I like this race. Here's the list:

#1: Fighter on two different occasions. Can win without lead. 4th line back is my pace line. E/P

#2: Sustained race at Houston has horrible internal fractions. Only decent line. OUT

#3: No way.
#4: Scratched.
#5: No way.
#6: Contender. Two best finishes are presser.
#7: OUT
#8: Deep closer; OUT.
#9: Fighter. Contender. S 6th line back.
#10: No fighter. Out.
#11: Slow

Leaves me with 1, 6, and 9. At a mile, I like the 1 who has run against faster paces.

Tim

Bill Lyster · 07-10-2010, 02:36 AM

Pete, nice call on winner and contra place horse.

Bill L

RichieP · 07-10-2010, 09:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PeteC

Hi Rich-

This one looks very tough to me...

The early scenario:
#10 looks to be a NTL and looking at line 2 I see a win vs 24.4 48.4 113.4

I considered 1,2,6, and 9 earlies as well with the ability to win OTE or at least without needing the early lead.

I do not see #10 maintaining its comfort zone, so he's out.

#6 and #9 look to be the fastest horses in the early group that also project to get their desired position. I give a slight edge to #9.

Of the OTE's I give the edge to #7, who comes of a fast sprint and shows a decent finish vs a fast pace routing in line 9. Still, I lean to #9 to take this race.

Good luck, and thanks for the race. Have a good weekend!

Tremendous work there Pete!
Nail the winner and also the 121 buck exacta cold with your OTE runner!! You are making great strides and I know you are really working at this. BIG congrats and thanks guys fir jumping in

PeteC · 07-10-2010, 12:18 PM

Thanks Bill L!

Thanks to you too, Rich! These practice races really help because they make me go through an entire race step by step as opposed to just looking quickly for spot plays as I do on my own. Going through the whole process like this can lead to new lessons I can apply to future races. Lessons I would've missed otherwise.

As always, I'll keep working and learning, but it's fun to have one turn out like that! Any positive result is an advertisement for the work you've done in the Hat Check section as well as directly to Jim Bradshaw!

On to the next one...

Capcondo · 07-11-2010, 10:47 AM

Great call. As I was watching the race and saw the 7 start to move, I thought there goes Pete C.'s horse. 7 almost go there.

Keep it up.

Tim

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07-09-2010, 07:13 AM	#1
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	Evangeline - Friday night Here is tonight's 7 race going 8f on the dirt. Interesting mix of early and e/p guys some of which can go multiple styles. Then toss in 2 sprinters in the mix and ..... Attached Images __________________ "Grampy I'm talking to you!"

07-09-2010, 07:15 AM	#2
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	... Attached Images __________________ "Grampy I'm talking to you!"

07-09-2010, 07:17 AM	#3
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	,,. Attached Images __________________ "Grampy I'm talking to you!"

07-09-2010, 07:18 AM	#4
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	.,. Attached Images __________________ "Grampy I'm talking to you!"

07-09-2010, 01:33 PM	#5
PeteC Grade 1 Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 611	Hi Rich- This one looks very tough to me... The early scenario: #10 looks to be a NTL and looking at line 2 I see a win vs 24.4 48.4 113.4 I considered 1,2,6, and 9 earlies as well with the ability to win OTE or at least without needing the early lead. I do not see #10 maintaining its comfort zone, so he's out. #6 and #9 look to be the fastest horses in the early group that also project to get their desired position. I give a slight edge to #9. Of the OTE's I give the edge to #7, who comes of a fast sprint and shows a decent finish vs a fast pace routing in line 9. Still, I lean to #9 to take this race. Good luck, and thanks for the race. Have a good weekend!

07-09-2010, 07:10 PM	#6
Capcondo Grade 1 Join Date: Sep 2007 Location: Tempe, Arizona Posts: 600	Evangeline's 7th I like this race. Here's the list: #1: Fighter on two different occasions. Can win without lead. 4th line back is my pace line. E/P #2: Sustained race at Houston has horrible internal fractions. Only decent line. OUT #3: No way. #4: Scratched. #5: No way. #6: Contender. Two best finishes are presser. #7: OUT #8: Deep closer; OUT. #9: Fighter. Contender. S 6th line back. #10: No fighter. Out. #11: Slow Leaves me with 1, 6, and 9. At a mile, I like the 1 who has run against faster paces. Tim __________________ Tim Don't look back. You're not going that way.

07-10-2010, 02:36 AM	#7
Bill Lyster Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar" Posts: 2,418	Pete, nice call on winner and contra place horse. Bill L

07-10-2010, 12:18 PM	#9
PeteC Grade 1 Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 611	Thanks Bill L! Thanks to you too, Rich! These practice races really help because they make me go through an entire race step by step as opposed to just looking quickly for spot plays as I do on my own. Going through the whole process like this can lead to new lessons I can apply to future races. Lessons I would've missed otherwise. As always, I'll keep working and learning, but it's fun to have one turn out like that! Any positive result is an advertisement for the work you've done in the Hat Check section as well as directly to Jim Bradshaw! On to the next one...

07-11-2010, 10:47 AM	#10
Capcondo Grade 1 Join Date: Sep 2007 Location: Tempe, Arizona Posts: 600	Nice work Pete Great call. As I was watching the race and saw the 7 start to move, I thought there goes Pete C.'s horse. 7 almost go there. Keep it up. Tim __________________ Tim Don't look back. You're not going that way.