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Hat Check - How Can We Help You? Jim 'The Hat' Bradshaw - Learn The Matchup |
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08-22-2006, 05:47 PM | #11 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
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Eliminations
ok the 4 is gone. let's get rid of some others now
Since the rest of the horses are Calder guys the 2 fastest INCLUDING pace of race and Position and beaten lenghts are the 6 horse - last line - 21.4 - 45.3 - 112.4 8 horse - last line - 22.0 - 45.3 - 112.2 - 119.3 Let's keep them. Eliminations: 2 horse - destroyed by the 8 horse in tandem 2 races back - out 3 horse - too slow and deep sustained style - out 4 horse eliminated by the 1 in " battle of the earlies" 5 horse - ridiculously slow - out 7 horse - slow roach - out
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"Grampy I'm talking to you!" |
08-22-2006, 05:52 PM | #12 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
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Ok left with the
1 - Early 6 - Presser 8 - Presser the styles on the 6 and 8 can vary to sustained presser I guess. To be honest This is what I had and thought the 1 was a cinch. Bet him and watched him run 2nd at huge odds to the 6 . LOSS - sonofabitc* here is the pp's for the 1 horse one more time - focus on his running style - pure need to lead early showing NO ability to FIGHT a horse if headed - Please REMEMBER that last bit ok - if it is HEADED it shows nothing in it's pp's to show it will FIGHT. It NEEDS an open lead to WIN.
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"Grampy I'm talking to you!" |
08-22-2006, 06:13 PM | #13 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
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Keep an open mind NOW
ok here are the pp's for the winning 6 horse again - now look at his 1st fraction from the race - 21.4 -- ok now the leading 1 horse 1st fraction - 22.1
Hat's description of what happens now: 1) The 6 horse has a 2 tick advantage at the 1st call over the 1. Ok Rich subtract those 2 ticks from the 6's POSITION at the 1st call of HIS race and what POSITION does that put him in TODAY. Position - 5th take away 2 ticks - Position TODAY at 1st call - 3rd at worst 2) Now using the 6's paceline what did he do from his 1st call to 2nd call POSITIONALLY? went from 5th to 3rd - gain of 2 POSITIONS - ok if he is 3rd TODAY at 1c give him his 2 position gain and apply to TODAYS race. 1c- 3rd 2c - gain of 2 POSITIONS so is moving to the leader ( the 1 horse) NOW 3) Now we HAVE to remember from earlier that the leading 1 horse has NOT proven himself a FIGHTER ok? at the 2nd call he is being attacked by the 6 horse. Now move to the 6 horse's POSITION at the stretch call of the last race. he moves from 3rd at 2c to 2nd at stretch right? A GAIN of 1 position. apply that gain to todays scenario and lo and behold the 6 at the STRETCH call has fought and PASSED the 1 horse. The 6 in its race goes on to win and projecting to today it is projected to WIN today's matchup over the 1
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"Grampy I'm talking to you!" |
08-22-2006, 06:27 PM | #14 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
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the 8 horse
ok if you take the remaining contender and do the same matching you will see he does NOT match up like the 6 did.
TRY it. here is the result chart . Look how the race actually ran POSITIONALLY compared to what Jim described. I am sitting here with kinda chills typing this because for ME a light bulb went on when he did this with me ok? That's why I had to ask him if I can try and post it. I HAVE to attempt it. THIS " thing" is at least one of the things he does that makes folks shake their heads and attach all kinds of words to it baby. I have to practice this a LOT more but I actually SEE a bit of it man. This ain't voodoo. It's Jim's matchup and now I am STARTING to see it. I can't believe it. Jim I hope I made some kind of sense in describing the technique you are teaching me. **** I HAD to try and explain it out of RESPECT and appreciation for all you have done for me! Sonofabitch if I saw this before the race I am still counting the cash Hat Richie
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"Grampy I'm talking to you!" |
08-23-2006, 09:37 AM | #15 |
Grade 2
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 86
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Rich,
Great job in describing the race. You explained the race as I explained it to you. You make me proud. Sure the 1 horse paid more to place than the 6 horse paid to win, but you throw away a ticket if you be the 1 to win, ask Rich. By the way this isn't something made up, because I bet the 6 horse to win. The Hat |
12-28-2008, 02:16 AM | #16 | |
True Disciple of Voodoo
Join Date: May 2006
Location: EarthQuake country( cali , baby)
Posts: 349
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Quote:
Horse, really, has NEVER had the lead in PP's, except breaking 1st out the gate, but fought for the lead. Looks like different stress on a horse fighting in 2nd by a head/neck for the lead vs ACTUALLY HAVING the lead and fighting OFF another [want-to-lead] horse. Being pressed vs being the presser. 2nd by a head is FIGHTING for the lead, NOT having the lead....there may be a pronounced difference. Fighting for the lead, but not actually having it = on the Offensive. Having the lead and fighting off want-the-lead horse = on the Defensive. The best defense is a good offense? Defense wins championships? Drafting, like bicyclist? Harder when you are on top vs chasing something thats already established....maybe something to think about. Like I said, lots of study material here with old MatchUp post. It's only "old" if you have truly and thoroughly mastered it. Reading THE HAT'S comments never gets tiring. VoodooFan |
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