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Pace Makes the Race / TPR Discussion, Examples, Lessons from Total Pace Ratings (TPR) aka 'Phase I' from the book 'Pace Makes the Race'

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Old 01-25-2017, 10:37 AM   #1
Bill V.
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Laurel Race 6 1/22 workup

I was asked to work this race, The race was from Sunday
I will work it up step by step,
I don't know scratches or track condition, I have no records from Laurel
Park so I will use what tools I have, from the PP's

First here is the set up screen

Name:  Race 6 splash.JPG
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Old 01-25-2017, 10:42 AM   #2
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The race is 6 furlongs for 4+ males Open claiming 7.500

The mL shows a strong 1.6/1 then 2.5, But then a gap to 5 and 6 /1 aand then 3 longer
odds horses 8,10 and 12/1

The RX says 2 4-7 1,6 3
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Old 01-25-2017, 10:55 AM   #3
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Pace lines

Here are the runners

Name:  H1.JPG
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Name:  H2.JPG
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Name:  H3.JPG
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Name:  H4.JPG
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Old 01-25-2017, 10:57 AM   #4
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Rest

field 5 6 7

Name:  H6.JPG
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Name:  H6real.JPG
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Name:  H7.JPG
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Old 01-25-2017, 11:06 AM   #5
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Running

I hace maked the running styles

1- EP
2- E
3- Sus ( after layoff line 4)
4- SP
5- S
6- P
7- EP

Next is the Fulcrum

Name:  last line.JPG
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The 4, 5 and 6 come out of the same race with the fastest POR second call (46.8 ) but the track was sly -8
The 4 is the qualifier since it was beaten less than 5 at the second call and final time
The 4 has run competitivly against a 46.8 POR so the 4 is the fulcrum.

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Old 01-25-2017, 11:09 AM   #6
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Im going to take a break so you can look over the race

The next step when i return will be to look at the last line TPR ratings for all 7 horses

Good Skill
Bill
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Old 01-25-2017, 06:32 PM   #7
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Bill,

I noticed you used sly lines for some horses, I would have gone a race back
from those for a fast track

Jeff
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Old 01-25-2017, 11:26 PM   #8
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I have

Hi Jeff
I have not selected lines yet, I still am in the initial steps , You, more than anyone live by doing your work before you turn on the computer :-)
Before I can select my lines I need to know what each horse ran off the last line ,
You will see why I do this shortly. Also when I start. I select the last line for each horse so I can identify the fulcrum pace of race .

Once I get the information I need from the last line , I will go back and select lines
and make changes

Lastly I wanted to post the PP,s for each horse and I have RDSS auto selection set to last line , so in honesty I just made screen shots and the last line no matter what track condition was selected, I was not handicapping the race at that point yet.
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Old 01-26-2017, 08:25 AM   #9
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Bill

You made very valid points thanks for explanation and your right about me doing
the work before I turn the computer on

Jeff

Last edited by shoeless; 01-26-2017 at 08:30 AM.
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Old 01-26-2017, 12:52 PM   #10
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Is their anymore to this thread? Has it simply not been posted yet? Bill V., I always find your posts helpful and interesting. Thank you for your time and knowledge.
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