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12-01-2017, 11:56 AM | #1 |
BetMix User
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 2,433
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TAM 12-01-17 Potential Longshots (Win Bets Only)
TAM 12-01-17 Potential Longshots (Win Bets Only)
Today's selections are for win only. I am a one horse win bettor so I will list just one horse per race. For those that bet 2 horses, feel free to list your opinions. As I mentioned previously, betting on longshots and betting only one horse in my selected races affords me the comfort level to acquire a lower hit rate then the normal 30% or higher betting lower priced horses (1 per race) or 60% or higher when betting 2 horses which significantly reduces the odds on the winning horse when you do hit. Example. If I bet 2 (7-2 odds) horses in a race and one wins. My return is $9.00 for $4.00 bet or $ 4.50 for each $2.00 bet. That breaks down to 2-1 odds when you win. That does not work for me. Keep in mind that 70% of the races are won by horses that are 4-1 or lower on the morning line. I look for the remaining 30%. As Ken Massa related in one of his studies, the strongest range for longshots would be 5-1 to 12-1 morning line odds. Here are my single picks for today's Tampa 12-01-17 Race-3.....(#3) Race-5.....(#12) Race-6.....(#5) Race-7.....(#4) Race-8.....(#1) Race-9.....(#7) Good Luck and Good Skills. Please keep Bill V. in your thoughts and prayers. Bill I wish you the best. Get well soon. |
12-01-2017, 12:42 PM | #2 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 9,042
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Good luck today. I capped this card but am not thrilled with it. Anyway here is my take for today,
r3 4869 r4 8731 r5 8394 r6 3257 r7 9572 r8 1378 r9 11837 I jump back with win bets and or exs before each race. Tim
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12-01-2017, 01:10 PM | #3 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: The Villages, Fl.
Posts: 3,705
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4-8-5-6-
Mitch44 |
12-01-2017, 01:14 PM | #4 |
BetMix User
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 2,433
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12-01-2017, 01:23 PM | #5 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 9,042
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R3 2 mins to post will go $33 4 $2wp 8 $1box ex 3468.
Tim
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12-01-2017, 01:23 PM | #6 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Largo Fl.
Posts: 2,295
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Race 3
3-6
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12-01-2017, 01:40 PM | #7 |
BetMix User
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 2,433
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12-01-2017, 01:43 PM | #8 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 9,042
|
Thanks thought 4 might have gotten dq.
Tim
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12-01-2017, 01:50 PM | #9 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 9,042
|
R4 Will pass this one.
Tim
__________________
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12-01-2017, 02:18 PM | #10 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: The Villages, Fl.
Posts: 3,705
|
3rd partsnut, sorry about that, I'm playing multiple track and had to hurry to post it.
Mitch44 |
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