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RDSS 2.2 (and previous versions) Racing Decision Support System - The NEW Version 2.2 |
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07-20-2019, 11:03 AM | #1 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada
Posts: 8,853
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Perceptor Usage Question
I received the following question, and gave the following answer to a new RDSS user. You can continue the discussion publicly here if you like
Quote:
THEN, with lines chosen using Percpetor ratings, use the BLBL, VDC or better yet, the Rx ratings on the Rx+ Analysis screen. Downgrade from Primary group horses without at least 4 ratings of 5 or better from the VDC, CSR. ProfitLine and Prime Power columns (usually also the better rated Rx factors). Try to eliminate all but 4 horses from Primary group (i.e. moving the rest to Secondary group – can finish in the money – or to Non-Contenders). Use the live odds near post time to assemble a wager from 2 or 3 of the Primary horses to Win depending on odds offered, or other wager in Exacta or Tri/Super etc using Secondary horses underneath. I do NOT use Perceptor to make final analysis decisions, only to get most representative pacelines. That’s what Sartin invented and how he used it (he called it the ‘paceline indicator’ in Validator). You still have to use all the other ratings, and an assessment of likely pace matchup – and of course the bet-time odds - to come up with a betting strategy. Always remembering: we are not looking for horses, we’re looking for BETS! Ted
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RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™ |
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07-20-2019, 11:14 AM | #2 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: The Villages, Fl.
Posts: 3,705
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"Beware when a high Perceptor rank is due to a poor or mediocre performance against a fast pace of race (POR). When in doubt, modify a line chosen so that the line is from a race where a horse has been COMPETITIVE . . . "
I find that this is pretty much handled by following Sartin guidelines of not using a line where the horse was beaten by more than 7.5 lengths. Mitch44 |
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