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07-12-2014, 01:09 PM | #1 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar"
Posts: 2,418
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July 12th Marathons
Arlington:
R 7 10 Furlongs Turf, Arlington Handicap - #1 and #2 are highweigts * R 8 12 Furlongs Turf, Stars and Stripes - #7 HW, #10 2nd HW but why R 9 9-3/16 Fur. Turf, American Derby - all 3 YO R10 9-3/16 Fur. Turf, Modesty, 3+ Fillies/Mares - #13 HW, several others 1# less Belmont R 9 - 12 furlongs Turf, Bowling Green, Grade 2 - #5 (122) and #3 (120) H/wts Delaware R 8 - 12 Furlongs Turf, Stake, 3+ * R 9 - 10 furlongs Dirt, Grade 1, Delaware Handicap - #6 HW Delaware 9th: Princess of Sylmar might be a single - 134.0 best mile Belle Gallantey might go wire to wire with no other pace pressure; could be getting better, was 1.75 behind POS in last - 134.4. All other horses have best mile times of 136.7 or >. Arlington 8th - 12 turf 2 pressers, 2 SP and 6 S types. 6-7-8 are most likely pacesetters, with 7 and 8 more likely pressing - best miles in order are 137.0-136.4-136.0 respectively. The 7 and 8 run 2-2-2 and 3-3-3 and have run successfully off of mid 112 six furlong times. The 5 horse last race mile time was 135.6, running 8-4-2, off of a 111.2 pace. has only won at C40 level, while 7 and 8 are competitive in G3 races, sometimes. ML is 20/1! I will box 5-7-8. Scare horse could also be #10 but not for win. note middle move in last, gained pos and lengths - then faded. I am working on the others.... |
07-12-2014, 01:50 PM | #2 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar"
Posts: 2,418
|
2nd group
Arlington 7th, 10 furlongs turf, Grade 3 handicap
1 Ep and all the rest are S. #1 runs 135.2 off of a 112.2, runs 9-8-6 #6 runs 135.6 off of a 113.8, runs 7-5-5 but has beaten the 1 twice by very close margins. My third horse is either the 2nd high wt, the 2 or the only likely pacesetter, the 4. I do not see where the 2 has been on lead in any meaningful pace and has not passed anything late in races. Arlington 9th - 9-3/16 furlongs, Turf, American Derby, grade 3 Best three are 135.0/135.2/135.2 respectively the 4, 9 and 3. The 4 runs 2-2-1 and the 9 and 3 close well. The 4 is 3/1 and the other two are 8/1 Belmont - race 9 Bowling Green The 6 has run 133.0/134.5 off of 110.4/113.4 paces; closes 10-4-2/5-3-2 and appears to get jump on highweight #5 1345.0 - 9-8-7. The fastest mile times come from the 1 who runs really sustained, but has made ground up in two sub 134 miles off of 110.8/110.4 paces. Today's pace is likely 113-114 range from the 2. The 1 always closes well, but got beat in tandem by 6, 3 back. My picks are 6-5-1. |
07-12-2014, 02:24 PM | #3 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar"
Posts: 2,418
|
Arlington 10, 9-3/16 furlongs Turf, Grade 3 Handicap
Lost of late here, E-1 EP-1 P-2 SP-2 S-8 Pacewise, the 11 and 3 probably duel each other into submission with the 11 a little better. expect about 112 pace perhaps slower. Best miles are from: 7 - 133.8, 4-4-2 off 110.2 4 - 134.0, 8-8-7 off 110.4 13- 134.4, 2-2-1, off 111.0 14- 135.4, 6-7-1, off 111.2 13 gets first run, with 7 close behind. My top three are 7-13-14 with the 4 closing fastest but too far back. |
07-12-2014, 02:57 PM | #4 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar"
Posts: 2,418
|
last group
Delaware 8th 12 furlongs Turf
Lost of E's at least 3, so my picks have to come from 4th or farther back. My picks are 7 - 133.2 - 7-1-1-1 3 - 135.0 - 7-4-2-1 and 12 134.4 fast time from a 7-8-8 effort. Good luck to all today. |
07-12-2014, 08:13 PM | #5 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar"
Posts: 2,418
|
Arlington
* R 8 12 Furlongs Turf, Stars and Stripes - #7 HW, #10 2nd HW but why Delaware * R 9 - 10 furlongs Dirt, Grade 1, Delaware Handicap - #6 HW Delaware 9th: Princess of Sylmar might be a single - 134.0 best mile Belle Gallantey might go wire to wire with no other pace pressure; could be getting better, was 1.75 behind POS in last - 134.4. All other horses have best mile times of 136.7 or >. Arlington 8th - 12 turf 2 pressers, 2 SP and 6 S types. 6-7-8 are most likely pacesetters, with 7 and 8 more likely pressing - best miles in order are 137.0-136.4-136.0 respectively. The 7 and 8 run 2-2-2 and 3-3-3 and have run successfully off of mid 112 six furlong times. The 5 horse last race mile time was 135.6, running 8-4-2, off of a 111.2 pace. has only won at C40 level, while 7 and 8 are competitive in G3 races, sometimes. ML is 20/1! I will box 5-7-8. Scare horse could also be #10 but not for win. note middle move in last, gained pos and lengths - then faded. I am working on the others....[/QUOTE] |
07-12-2014, 08:22 PM | #6 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar"
Posts: 2,418
|
Arlington 7th, 10 furlongs turf, Grade 3 handicap
1 Ep and all the rest are S. #1 runs 135.2 off of a 112.2, runs 9-8-6 #6 runs 135.6 off of a 113.8, runs 7-5-5 but has beaten the 1 twice by very close margins. My third horse is either the 2nd high wt, the 2 or the only likely pacesetter, the 4. I do not see where the 2 has been on lead in any meaningful pace and has not passed anything late in races. Arlington 9th - 9-3/16 furlongs, Turf, American Derby, grade 3 Best three are 135.0/135.2/135.2 respectively the 4, 9 and 3. The 4 runs 2-2-1 and the 9 and 3 close well. The 4 is 3/1 and the other two are 8/1 Belmont - race 9 Bowling Green The 6 has run 133.0/134.5 off of 110.4/113.4 paces; closes 10-4-2/5-3-2 and appears to get jump on highweight #5 1345.0 - 9-8-7. The fastest mile times come from the 1 who runs really sustained, but has made ground up in two sub 134 miles off of 110.8/110.4 paces. Today's pace is likely 113-114 range from the 2. The 1 always closes well, but got beat in tandem by 6, 3 back. My picks are 6-5-1.[/QUOTE] |
07-12-2014, 08:23 PM | #7 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar"
Posts: 2,418
|
Delaware 8th 12 furlongs Turf
Lost of E's at least 3, so my picks have to come from 4th or farther back. My picks are 7 - 133.2 - 7-1-1-1 3 - 135.0 - 7-4-2-1 and 12 134.4 fast time from a 7-8-8 effort. |
07-12-2014, 08:31 PM | #8 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar"
Posts: 2,418
|
Arlington 10, 9-3/16 furlongs Turf, Grade 3 Handicap
Lots of late here, E-1 EP-1 P-2 SP-2 S-8 Pacewise, the 11 and 3 probably duel each other into submission with the 11 a little better. expect about 112 pace perhaps slower. Best miles are from: 7 - 133.8, 4-4-2 off 110.2 4 - 134.0, 8-8-7 off 110.4 13- 134.4, 2-2-1, off 111.0 14- 135.4, 6-7-1, off 111.2 13 gets first run, with 7 close behind. My top three are 7-13-14 with the 4 closing fastest but too far back |
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