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Old 09-17-2011, 07:32 AM   #1
RichieP
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Sunday Woodbine Gr2 Turf Route - 108TM Race Class

Here is Sunday's Grade 2 Canadian Stakes going 9f on their beautiful turf course. It is the 5th race on the card.

** I am only going to post races where ALL the horses have numerous North American pacelines to evaluate so any races with "Euro" shippers will be omitted**
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Old 09-17-2011, 07:35 AM   #2
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Old 09-17-2011, 07:37 AM   #3
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Old 09-18-2011, 07:40 AM   #4
Bill V.
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Wood Grass

I will go with the 4 and 2

WO0918 5 9.0 T G2 3+F $300,000 2:59PM

THE V A L I D A T O R (VAL4)

Code:
┌─┬───────────┬───┬───┬────────┐  ┌───┬───┬───┬───┬──┬──┬──┐  ┌──────┐  ┌────┐
│#│PN NAME LdT│SPR│BAL│   TOT-R│  │EPR│LPR│CPR│ TT│FW│HE│FX│  │V/DC-T│  │SUPP│
├─┼───────────┼───┼───┼────────┤  ├───┼───┼───┼───┼──┼──┼──┤  ├──────┤  ├────┤
│1│ 2 FANTA2  │ 85│  6│164.86-5│  │  3│  3│  2│  2│ 4│ 4│ 3│  │     2│  │   2│
├─┼───────────┼───┼───┼────────┤  ├───┼───┼───┼───┼──┼──┼──┤  ├──────┤  ├────┤
│2│ 4 MEKON1  │ 91│  5│167.51-1│  │  1│  2│  1│  3│ 1│ 3│ 1│  │     1│  │   1│
├─┼───────────┼───┼───┼────────┤  ├───┼───┼───┼───┼──┼──┼──┤  ├──────┤  ├────┤
│3│ 8 SHARE4  │ 84│  6│165.45-4│  │  5│  1│  5│  4│ 2│ 2│ 2│  │     3│  │   2│
├─┼───────────┼───┼───┼────────┤  ├───┼───┼───┼───┼──┼──┼──┤  ├──────┤  ├────┤
│4│ 9 NEVER2 1│ 84│  7│165.53-3│  │  2│  4│  4│  3│ 5│ 5│ 4│  │     4│  │   4│
├─┼───────────┼───┼───┼────────┤  ├───┼───┼───┼───┼──┼──┼──┤  ├──────┤  ├────┤
│5│11 MISS 1  │ 85│  6│165.56-2│  │  4│  2│  3│  1│ 3│ 1│ 5│  │     2│  │   3│
└─┴───────────┴───┴───┴────────┘  └───┴───┴───┴───┴──┴──┴──┘  └──────┘  └────┘
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Old 09-18-2011, 08:31 AM   #5
partsnut
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In my humble opinion:
The (#6) and (#13) seems to fit the race set-up.
They should be tough to beat if they don't scratch.
The pace pressure gauge is a 23X1 indicating a late close which is characteristic for turf with moderate pace pressure off of an honest and possibly fast pace.
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Old 09-18-2011, 11:23 AM   #6
alydar_ David
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Syn2 likes #4
Second choice would be #13 and/or #11

PHP Code:
S Y N E R G I S M   I I
                            

RACE
:  091805     DIST: -  9.0 FURLONGS    COMMENTS:  WO 5thturf


         F 1     F 2     F 3     S C
Pace    53.96   56.67   58.31   54.24                  SC B
/L    
=====================================        =================
#9 Nev  53.96   54.81   55.61   54.24        #9 Neve    0.00
#2 Fan  53.01   56.67   55.20   54.23        #2 Fant    0.08
#11 Mi  52.24   55.16   57.53   53.21        #13 Zag    3.13
#13 Za  52.20   56.29   57.30   53.54        #11 Mis    4.57
#4 Mek  51.68   55.24   58.31   52.83        #4 Meko    6.30

                        
                                    
RANKINGS
                                    
========

             
F W   E P   S P   T T   F X   W X   L P   D R  MED E
             
===   ===   ===   ===   ===   ===   ===   ===  =====
  
#4 Mek      4     4     1     3     1     2     1     2   64.71
  #13 Za      2     2     2     1     3     2     2     3   65.44
  #11 Mi      3     3     2     4     2     2     1     1   65.12
  #9 Nev      1     1     3     5     3     1     3     4   66.17
  #2 Fan      2     1     4     2     4     3     3     4   66.52 
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Old 09-18-2011, 11:33 AM   #7
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got my contenders down to

2-6-9-13

will bet over 4-1 odds
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Old 09-18-2011, 12:49 PM   #8
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#13, Zagora: HUGE run last out --- gallops if she reproduces it

#6, Bay to Bay: against the grain run last out, has run will over the course, and figures to get a nice setup

#11, Miss Keller: FINALLY appears to be rounding into shape -- no shot in race that didn't come back last out --- could get 20:1 on her today
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Old 09-18-2011, 01:38 PM   #9
Bill Lyster
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I took the last line of the 7 as the pace of race. he ran on this course last time in about 46 - 109.3 - 134.4. He appears as lone speed, but best finishing time is slow compared to these.

Five tandem horses 4,5,6,9,11

I looked at any horse that had a good race against the 109.3 or 134.4 and came up with the 3,4,6,9 and 12 aside from the pacesetter.

3-sp vs this pace, line 4 and not strong last race at allowance level
4-p, line 3 ran from 3rd, beat 3 in line 9 tandem
6-ep vs slower but p today, line 2, ran from 5, also line 9 ran from 5th
9-p, line 2, had lead at mile call at projected pace today
12-s, line 3, from 4th

Once the 7 folds the nearest appears to be the 9 and 6. Looks like the 4 is a little too far back.

9 and 6 to win and I will look at odds of 3. Last race won by 8.5 and finished strongly against todays pace in a 9f grade 2 last year in the only time he faced this pace.

good luck to all of you


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Old 09-18-2011, 02:40 PM   #10
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WO Race #5

I chose the 7 horse line 6 back for the pace 47.5 1:10.8 but I think the race will be closer to the tandem of the 4,6, and 9 which is 48.4 1:11.3. With the 7 as an E, the 8 as an EP, and the 3,4,5,9, and 10 as P's, I think the race will run sustained.

The 2 and the 13 are the horses that I think can really fly at the end. The 2 won one of the few races where he got a firm track 2 back and is in a tandem with the 13 from KEE 5 back where he was ahead of the 13.

I'll take the 2 but am afraid of the 13.

Tim
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