Go Back   Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up > General Discussion
Mark Forums Read
Google Site Search Get RDSS Sartin Library RDSS FAQs Conduct Register Site FAQ Members List Search Today's Posts

General Discussion General Horse Racing Discussion

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 02-21-2020, 01:11 PM   #1
rdiam
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Sep 2016
Posts: 606
Horizontals vs Win Parlays

Lots of chatter recently on this board about bettors migrating to horizontal bets and away from win and vertical bets.

Remember, a horizontal bet (daily double, p3, p4, p5, p6) is nothing more than a win parlay with a single takeout (those who don't consider takeout important can stop reading here). So every time you decide to make a horizontal bet, you have an alternative option to make a win parlay.

On the surface, it would seem that the horizontal, with its single takeout, would be the preferred strategy. BUT sequence of favorites and longshots matter, and will affect how best to bet.

Generally, the horizontal bet will pay more than the parlay when the first leg of a DD or p3, or the early legs of a p4, p5, or p6 are likely to be won by someone OTHER than the top 2-3 favorites. If the early part of the sequence can be narrowed down to 2-3 horses, or even singled, you will generally be better off betting the win parlay, or even omitting this race from your sequence if betting rolling DDs or p3s.

Finally, large carryovers or guaranteed payouts of carryover pools will almost always make the horizontal bet superior to a win parlay.

Good luck.

Richard
rdiam is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-21-2020, 03:02 PM   #2
Mitch44
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: The Villages, Fl.
Posts: 3,705
I agree Richard as its easier to pick winners than the place or show horse etc. My favorite is the DD but I also play other horizontal bets. On P-3 it doesn't pay to play if two favorites are likely to win. In the P6 mast are always playing too many longshots instead of the likely winners and a single or 2 races with only 2 horses greatly reduces the extension or cost.

Mitch44
Mitch44 is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On

Forum Jump


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 09:23 AM.