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Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) Interactive Teaching & Learning - Race Conditions, Contenders, Pacelines, Advanced Concepts, Betting ...

 
 
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Old 02-10-2019, 09:14 PM   #11
lone speed
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Nov 2011
Posts: 695
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mitch44 View Post

In horse racing the game is fraught with facts. No one questions their validity and blindly accepts them. Case in point; it is stated that favorites win 33% of time and have for the last 50 or 60 years. Today this is no longer true because the game has changed with many more tracks, shorter fields, not enough horses to go around all of which which increase the number of favorites. And it always was that higher class horses are more consistent and have a higher % of favorites winning. Few have broken this down by class. There is a huge difference between older G1 horses favorites winning % and the % of the lowly NW2L etc. type races. Remember that 33% encompassed all and the worst races brought down those averages.






Mitch44

You make many great points here Mitch!!!
Thank for your sharing....
lone speed is offline   Reply With Quote
 

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