CT test

[For The Lead]

Originally Posted by shoeless

FTL and Bill thanks you cleared that up

Now you made me think of another race that gives me trouble

Allowance ranks is "non-winners of a race other than maiden, claiming, or state bred" also non winners of 2 other than

What type of horses should I be looking at that would fit at this level


Jeff

NON WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED


Ok, so what is the logical interpretation of this condition?
Let’s look at what qualifies for the first part of the condition, “non winners of a race other than maiden”. What horses would be eligible? Obviously, only horses that have only beat maidens.
Since this is an allowance where horses are not eligible to be claimed, it stands to reason that it was intended for horses that broke their maiden versus maiden special weights. Again, a race where the horse cannot be claimed. In reality, many of these horses run and run and run, but never get the job done. However, they do turn in good efforts running 2nd and/or 3rd . For that reason, many times these horses are the favorite or made low odds because of those performances in their next race. At some point in time, after many failures, the owners of such horses finally reach the conclusion that their horse is not as good as they hoped and move the horse down to the claiming ranks. Since the horse has not established any real value by beating anything other than maidens, the trick is where to place them in the claiming ranks. The worse thing for the horse is to be placed in high value claimers where it will probably continue to fail. Horses like these learn to do one thing...LOSE!


Now let’s look at the “other than...claiming, starter or state bred” part because they are the horses that are eligible to run even though they have won more than 1 race. For everyone reading this I will challenge you to decide the following for yourself. What is better, a horse that is 1 for 20 that has never beat anything except maidens or a horse that is 10 for 28 and has demonstrated it is capable of beating fields of horses even those those horses were claiming, starter or state bred horses?
I prefer horses that have demonstrated they can win races. Even though these horses have only beat claimers etc., they have established they have value. Moreover, they have learned to WIN!

Having said all that, it doesn’t mean you run right out and bet only the claimers in these races. If you find a horse that broke its’ maiden at first asking or shortly thereafter and is now coming into this race, and especially if the horse is being bet down, that may be a horse to give serious consideration to. What you are looking for is the 1 for 15 or 1 for 20 horse that is being bet down because it has run 2nd and/or 3rd in “allowance” races and the other horses are “claimers”, which most people feel are inferior.


NON WINNERS OF TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED

Take everything I just said above and throw it out. That kind of thinking will not serve you well once you hit this condition. It may seem like a small thing, after all it’s 1 race or 2 races, how much difference can there be? My advice is, try it at your own peril. Claimers will not do as well at this condition.

At all times you have to evaluate the horses you have in front of you. It is also best to have an understanding of how racing works.