Penn Race 6 12/11

[Bill V.]

This is not really a selection but I have been working
on this race with a few people. I wanted to show my selection decisions.
The race was race 6 from Penn on 12/11



Pace line selection was my normal plus + race within 90 days and
always considering the last pace line. Then working down till I get a usable line.within 90 days.

Here is horse #3




The reason I used no line for horse 3 even though it always runs + races
is a question of form. The horse only has the 7 furlong sprint at LRL in the last 90 days, Its a 1 turn race. Its also a win so its a tough call. However I see its been going in and out of training.
Its been off 69, 31 56 and 54 days between its last 4 races
I am being consistent with the suggested 90 day + race guideline.

Here is horse 4



Horse 4 another horse which I made a decision.
Line 1 is not a + race but why did I forgive it ?
I see it as a race over its normal class ability I can tell this from the
pace of race it faced, I set the pace of race based on the fulcrum from horse 6 which was 47 and 113.2






I see that horse 4 faced a 112 pace of race
another key for me was the race class rating and the final odds the horse went off. I see its always been bet. to single low digit odds, yet in line 1 it went off at 40/1 It probably was over matched in that race so i excused it
wit what I fell is a valid excuse of being in too high a class race.

That said here are my contenders



readouts and results
next post

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[Bill V.]

here is my TPR screen

The winner # 12 is right there in the top 2

[Appy]

Bill, this race was my BIG WIN of this week!
My BL top2 were 12-3 (3-12 on segs screen) and that's the way I played it. 12 to win and 12,3 ex.
I was feeling really good right about then as I had also won the first and third races. Should have quit right then, but it still ended being a very positive night at Penn.