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09-08-2011, 10:56 PM | #1 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Football Picks
Anyone want to join in on some NFL football Picking skills
Here Are my week 1 spot plays Cowboys + 4.5 Giants -3 Rams +5 Chargers -9 Bill V fearless |
09-09-2011, 03:04 AM | #2 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Packers offense looks awesome but defense. Needs to shape up. Glad i passed the opener
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09-09-2011, 08:50 AM | #3 |
Grade 1
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Staten Island, NY
Posts: 3,952
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BILL
YOU PICKING AGAINST MY J-E-T-S Jets Jets Jets !!! and your from Jerzie TRAITOR!!!!
__________________
Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack |
09-09-2011, 10:18 AM | #4 | |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Jets
Quote:
I see the Jets winning the game but not covering Same with my EAGLES will win but game but Rams look good it will be close Bill |
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09-09-2011, 10:21 AM | #5 |
Grade 1 Aspiree
Join Date: May 2009
Posts: 678
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How do you handicap football ????
Ernie |
09-09-2011, 10:55 AM | #6 |
Grade 1
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Staten Island, NY
Posts: 3,952
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__________________
Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack |
09-09-2011, 11:08 AM | #7 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Hat
Hi Ernie
Picking which helmet looks the coolest works best Seriously The odds line is very accurate kind of like betting the morning line Lets say your horse is morning line 5/1 and it goes off at 9/2 or 5.50/1 how did the ml odds maker know so well ??? The odds makers for pro football are incredibly accurate so when you see a team is a 3 point favorite You bet that you know better than the odds makers and that you think the team is better or worse then they do The J.E.T.S are the favorite by 4.5 in there game against the Cowboys Now to win your bet you decide if the Jets will win by more than 4.5 or the Cowboys will either win the game outright or will lose the game but lose by less than 4.5 points Thats a basic idea of betting football Bill |
09-09-2011, 11:36 AM | #8 |
Grade 1
Join Date: May 2009
Location: Thornhill ON
Posts: 437
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Football
Hi
Question: About the line what are looking for in line movement 3 points or 7 points Generally football is about totals and totals are basic arrived from points gained during the game. What is the ideal line for a game to bet on.
__________________
May all wagers be Winners... |
09-09-2011, 01:09 PM | #9 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 878
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brings great memory. Handicapping football isn't that different from horse racing. The human element is in play as well.......
you start to handicap after 4 games into the season, 4 games are sufficient to have a pulse on the teams OFF, DEF and Spec Team. Injuries should carefullly scrutinized. A model should be kept for the OFF, DEF and Spec Team as such: PF=Points for PA=Point against YF=Yards for YA=Yards against FDO=First down offense FDD=First down defense and there are more factors like minutes, punts field goals, 2 points attempt etc...etc... Few angles do develop during the season, the Monday night home dog was a good one, I don't know if is still in use. One bookie doesn't help you need at least 4 of them, you need to shop around for the best line. Don't play exotics just play the line, no totals. No final score will ever end like 14.5 to 21.5....the half point is scam...how many times you lost by half point....duh! Remember the juice will kill you you can only win, if you are able to split the line like this: Team A -1 Team B +3 bet both team and if Team A wins by 2 points you won both bets. In football rarely happens, but in basketball....Ca---cing |
09-09-2011, 02:20 PM | #10 | |
Grade 1 Aspiree
Join Date: May 2009
Posts: 678
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Quote:
Ernie |
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