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2016 Match4Cash Challenges Are You Up 4 It?

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Old 08-29-2016, 10:04 AM   #1
The Pook
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M4$16/2 Sept 3-Capcondo

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Old 09-02-2016, 03:13 PM   #2
Capcondo
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Finger Lakes #5 5.5 F Post time 3:16 PM ET

FL #5 5.5 F.pdf
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Old 09-03-2016, 12:16 PM   #3
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there is plenty of speed in this race. However, it looks to me like one of the speedballs could wire the field.

22.8 46.7

I think that the 7 Channel Boy could be the horse to wire the field. In case he falters, I will back him up with the 4 Private Thrill.

#4 Private Thrill
#7 Channel Boy

both to win only.
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Old 09-03-2016, 12:46 PM   #4
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My picks are: #4 to WIN; #3 to WIN and PLACE.

I see three "E"s, one "EP" and a "P" who likes to stay close to the pace. Only 5.5f on speed-favoring Finger Lakes, but I still don't see a horse going GTW. So, it should be OTE. That eliminates 5, 7, and 8. 2 is the lone EP but he prefers an off-track and it's going to be sunny in Farmington. 6 hasn't run a good race in a long, long time, so he's a toss. That leaves me with 1, 3 and 4 and none are exactly prizes.

4 beat 3 by less than a length 12 days ago, both running good races. They should be fit. I'm concerned that 3 may be out of position with the projected pace though, just like 1 who never seems to finish. And 4 hasn't won a race in a year. Jeez.

So, it's the two Pressers who ran decent 12 days ago. (And a tip of my "capcondo" to anyone who can hit this race with a single.)

mick
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Old 09-03-2016, 02:01 PM   #5
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Fl #5

No scratches. The track is fast.
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Old 09-03-2016, 02:26 PM   #6
cigar
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fl #5

Pace: 22.4 - 45.4
OTE
Win 3-4 Place 3
Contenders: 1-3-4

The two speed (7&8) will cancel each other, #1 fit the pace however does not finish his races.

#3 should press the early pace and get first jump, if the speed burn the EP then #4 will pickup the pieces.


Good luck all.
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Old 09-03-2016, 02:49 PM   #7
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Race should run OTE. #7 should get the lead but will be hard pressed by the #1 and #8.

The #4 has the best shot to pick up the pieces. The #5 is due for a good race.

Win #4 & #5

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Old 09-03-2016, 03:00 PM   #8
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Lots of speed I’m going with the class dropper the 5 and hoping he can EP with this field.
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Old 09-03-2016, 03:01 PM   #9
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FL5

The Need to Leads are 7,8. Relegates all others to OTE. With a 22?,45? pace they must do it from the outside posts where neither have won from before. The 7 should be the winner of these two but at what cost? Should come down to close-up OTE’s. of which I’ve got 1 and 3 being fast enough to be in positions they’ve both won from before right in behind the early horses. They will be at good odds.
.........But I'm not getting that loving feeling with these runners. This one ain't coming easy enough. Wouldn't surprise me if it was a low odds blow out. Tim must like something here though for some reason that I can't see.


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Old 09-03-2016, 03:14 PM   #10
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This race has quite a bit of speed in it with the 7 and 8 making the 1st quarter somewhere around a 22.0. Other early or e/p horses look like the 2,3, and 5. I'm afraid the sustained types like the 4 and the 6 will get too far behind a 22.0 (I played those kind of horses in the last contest!).

The 1 horse is the FPLR (fastest pace last race). In that race, he is in tandem with the 2 and the 6. The 2 showed nothing in that race which was his last race without an excuse. The 6 lost the rider in the tandem but has shown very little in other races.

The 1 can stay closer than the more sustained horses and made a minor move in the FPLR.

I'm taking the 1 to win the race.
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