Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   Power line matchup (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=4739)

punch18 11-04-2008 02:29 PM

Power line matchup
 
Hi guys
I ve been reading posts about power lines and what richiep does to get a first look.
Is this a start??
1. mark styles then put in power line
2. project pace based on powerline
3 match each horse against each other
or
1 mark styles and power lines
2. determin early or other than early
3. bet the horse positionaly closest.
thanks

Charlie D 11-04-2008 03:02 PM

Hi punch, Richie will help, but here is some steps that may help

Step 1


Watch and Listen to this video

http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=4442


Step 2

Follow Steps given here

http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=4474


And here

http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=3157



Hope this helps

** Thanks Charlie. I am hoping others will chime in with their feedback. I am on the sidelines for this.**
RichieP

RichieP 11-06-2008 09:26 AM

5 Attachment(s)
Punch,Charlie and everyone interested here are the full pp's for a race. Take a day or so and look at them ok?

Put the following "keys" in your head. They have ALL been discussed here. Read them QUICKLY twice.

1) FPLR - fastest pace last race
2) E or O.T.E.
3) Tandem
4) When there are a lot of sprint lines and today's race is a route you CAN match the sprint lines against one another to matchup.
5) Power Lines

I'll show you my way of looking at it. This is a VERY nice winner and I am most certain that more than a few of you are gonna "get it".

More importantly it will let you "see this" before the race runs going forward where it will help you.

Here are the pp's. You see the raw on top panel and the tandem screen on the middle panel. The ideal setup for matching horses

RichieP 11-06-2008 09:28 AM

5 Attachment(s)
cont

RichieP 11-06-2008 09:29 AM

2 Attachment(s)
remainder

mikesal57 11-07-2008 08:34 AM

Hi Rich.....let me take a shot at this

I see the race as OTE...because when u have a fast sprinter with a fast router



Horse

1) sustained....elim slow and no form last 3
2) sustained....23.3 46.8 power move 2nd call/ stretch....in
3) presser/sus...elim...no form last 2 off layoff
4) presser/sus...elim...lost to more that one horses via tandem
6) presser/sus...elim...power move but in slow race & lost to 2 tandem horses
7) Early............elim via OTE race
8) presser.........elim via 3 horse tandems
9) sus...............elim no form last 3
10) early/presser. 22.9 47.1 power move 2nd/str...in
11) presser..........22.1 44.4 FPLR gain positions..in
12) early router...elim via OTE race
13) sus..............elim slow last race

Left are 2,10,11

if you look at fractions the 11 is FPLR by far

mike

RichieP 11-07-2008 09:27 AM

5 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by RichieP (Post 42764)

1) FPLR - fastest pace last race
2) E or O.T.E.


Who are the early horse (s) in this race?

Who are the horses coming out of the FPLR?

Look at the pp's.

Then look at them together on the last screen shot and I ask you simply:
Is the winner coming from that group (Early) or will it be from the yet to be seen O.T.E. "mix"?

Early or O.T.E. ??

Look at the pp's
Look at FPLR

RichieP 11-07-2008 03:56 PM

1 Attachment(s)
OK if you have decided the winner was in the early grouping the race is lost.

If you have decided the race will be won O.T.E. go back and count how MANY earlies there are that YOU have thrown out.

Here is WHY this is crucial and why it must be based on what YOU see.
==================================================

When you throw a grouping of early horses out you must account for them POSITIONALLY during the running of the race when choosing your selection.

Here is what I mean and a guide that you should consider using when evaluating WHO you are going to bet in a race shape projection of Other than early or O.T.E.

GUIDELINES:

1) When your tossed early grouping is made up of 2 horses focus your O.T.E. search on fast horses who run well from the 3rd and 4th positions at the 1st call. Use the whole pp's.

2) When your tossed early grouping is made up of 3 horses focus your O.T.E. search on fast horses who run well from the 4th and 5th positions at the 1st call. Use the whole pp's.

3) When your tossed early grouping is made up of 4 horses focus the O.T.E. search on Power Moving horses 1c-2c and 2c-sc who are away POSITIONALLY from the lead horses at the 1st call. Use the whole pp's.

** Power Moves are from 1c-2c and 2c-sc.**

Here is the O.T.E. grouping.

RichieP 11-07-2008 03:59 PM

Fplr
 
1 Attachment(s)
Fastest Pace Last Race:

Tandem with the #7 and the #11

Running styles:
#7 - Early
#11 - O.T.E.

Charlie D 11-07-2008 05:29 PM

Lines all stacked up and it sticks out like a sore thumb :)


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