Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill Lyster
Barb (and others)
I am gradually working my way through the data base of races that Ted put up last year and among the most startling results I observed was at Mountaineer.
I did all of the non maiden races, total 48. I did not consider any horse who had been away from the races 270 days or more or who had not set foot on the track in about 40 days.
At Mountaineer, the highest rated early horse (the one whose % is highlighted in red in both the percentage and Accum columns) was a TERRIBLE bet. Ergo, at this track!!!, a great eliminator.
In 48 races it finished worse than FOURTH 32 times! It finished first 4 times, 2nd - 5 times 3rd - 3 times and 4th - 4 times; so it was not in the trifecta 36 times out of 48 races - 75%
Mountaineer Race results:
Races won 34
Exactas in top 4: 22
Trifectas in top 4 11
and 4 superfectas cold.
E1 - 11
E2 - 6
L1 - 7
L2 - 10
Some of the other tracks show this Double Red trait but not to the extent apparent at Mountaineer last year.
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Hi Bill,
Thats a small sample IMO but a good base to start with.. ... did u happen to check their E/L Diff & Med E..? maybe a bit high? how many were sprints and rtes...
Here is tonites MNR.. and theres a few favorites in here that maybe a good bet against based on your report.....
