Quote:
Originally Posted by shoeless
Here is a good example that will illustrate what Davidowitz was talking about
in his book Betting Thoroughbreds about an edge in class.
Today's race at Parx was 1mi 70 CLMn1y.
Pino and I hit this horse today at a very generous price of 5-1 which
I believe was due to people just looking at the horses last race which was
an obvious workout.
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Congratulations on the score, Shoe. I see more than just a class drop. Horse went up in class last race, showed early speed then faded. A good sign in my book. The horse is also a Type I (or "A" angle) and T2a angle horse in addition to being a WIR angle horse and 3 outs in 12 days (thanks, Jerry Stokes) with what looks to be a bullet workout at 7 furlongs 8 days ago which would also qualify it as a Super Workout (SW)
and PI2 angle according to Boxcar's handicapping methodology. In addition, the horse is coming off a layoff (I use 30-days. Heck, if you're off 30-days from work, for example, it's a layoff in my book!).
Jon