Learn from my mistakes.
1) Make sure that when you are projecting a pace 1c-2c that you are using a horse (s) who are ON THE LEAD at those calls. NOT 2-hd or 2-nk.
Hat would gruff at me "On the lead means what it says Rich".
As it turns out a member here "Tom" was told the same exact thing by Jim at a seminar. Tom's feedback on what Hat told him can be found here. It is post #113 in the thread.
http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthr...9425#post39425
Now if you can NOT proj a pace using that way fall back to Jim's 2nd way he lays out in his 5 step approach.
Third option is passing the race and there is nothing wrong with that man. It is hard enough to wager profitably on races we understand a bit. Let's not make it harder.