Originally Posted by VoodooFan
Not quite, but almost the kind of horse that gives me fits, makes handicapping longer.
Success as and Early and Other-Than-Early horse.
To get a solid picture of what this horse can do, you have to give him a M.O. profile, like a criminal.
He has success at being Early, Early Presser and Presser.
My problem would be to figure his comfort zone. Especially his race at the bottom.......I would have to chalk that up as either inexperience or he was challenged between the 1st and 2nd call.
As and Early, can win between a 22.2-22.9, but with the following stipulations:
At a 22.8 or faster, if he is challenged and fights, cannot win, as an Early.
At a 22.2 or slower, can win with 1/2 length comfort zone, if not challenged as an Early. Needs a easy trip without challenges.
As an Early, he must go gate to wire, Need-To-Lead, 1st at the break call.
Can fight for the lead and win as an Other-Than-Early at 23 or slower.
As an Other-Than-Early, can be a Presser and Sustained Presser with success.
So whether the race runs Early or Other-Than-Early, he has to be considered as a threat if the 1st call projection falls to his abilities.
In general, he has success at positions 1,2,3 and 4.
This is the kind of horse that makes me unsure, probably have some holes in my analysis of him, takes too long to figure out, depends on the other contenders in the race and whats he facing today.
VoodooFan
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