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11-04-2012, 08:49 PM | #1 |
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Edge in class good example
Here is a good example that will illustrate what Davidowitz was talking about
in his book Betting Thoroughbreds about an edge in class. Today's race at Parx was 1mi 70 CLMn1y. Pino and I hit this horse today at a very generous price of 5-1 which I believe was due to people just looking at the horses last race which was an obvious workout. |
11-04-2012, 10:35 PM | #2 | |
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Quote:
The one thing that caught my attention was the class/conditions shown. n1y...to me = non winners of one in a year. Likewise, n2y...to me = non winners of two in a year. Today's race and the last two races were all non winners in 6 month conditions, with today's race and the second race back being non winners of one in six months, while the last race was non winners of TWO in six months. Here is today's condition and the last two races conditions as published by Equibase. Either way, it amounts to the same idea, which is what I believe you were targeting.
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11-05-2012, 03:53 AM | #3 |
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Whoa...we've got two different last two race classifications in the past performances here! Now which one is it? C7500n2y and c7500n1y or c7500n2-6mx and c7500n1-6m? Both sets can't be right!
Jon
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"Free your mind and the profits will follow." Last edited by Jonathan Steele; 11-05-2012 at 03:56 AM. |
11-05-2012, 04:00 AM | #4 | |
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Quote:
Jon
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"Free your mind and the profits will follow." Last edited by Jonathan Steele; 11-05-2012 at 04:10 AM. |
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11-05-2012, 04:26 AM | #5 |
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P.S. Horse is also an A2 angle horse. Thanks Boxcar!
Jon
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11-05-2012, 06:21 AM | #6 |
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Hi Jon nice to see you posting again.
It was for horses who had not won a race in 6 months. |
11-05-2012, 08:15 AM | #7 |
The egg man
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good example
Thanks Jeff
Those NW2-6m races are a big jump |
11-05-2012, 05:03 PM | #8 |
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Jon,
I dont see how you and Pino can keep up with the names for all of those different angles. I was weened at Charles Town back when they were running for purses below 1000, so to me nothing was as important as trainer maneuvers.But I didnt have any names for them I just knew what to look for. As far as Davidowitz is concerned he was really ahead of his time.When his first book came out and he wrote about the minor racing class system there were no conditions in the pp's.You had to save the racings forms because they were in the charts. |
11-05-2012, 06:05 PM | #9 |
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Jon did very well in point out some of the horse's attributes but did forget the BBA, HW, SH, DC, UD, FH, WR1, P, Y+, attributes.
with 5 performance attributes, 3 trainer intent and 6 MAC, horse #6 was a great contender. |
11-16-2012, 06:52 PM | #10 | |
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Quote:
Jon
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"Free your mind and the profits will follow." |
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