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2017 Del Mar Nov 3 & 4

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Old 11-02-2017, 09:35 PM   #1
So Cal Al
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DMR Friday Breeders Cup

Any thoughts on how to handle Race 6 and Race 8 with large fields and foreign horses. Some would suggest to wait for scratches and then pass each of them.
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Old 11-03-2017, 06:44 AM   #2
RichieP
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Personally I'm passing the races where I cant get a handle on runners, the 2 you mentioned are passes.

I'm definitely playing against the favs in the 9th race Distaff. I'm on the #6 Forever Unbridled. OTE

Best of luck
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Old 11-03-2017, 08:11 AM   #3
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Races 6 &8 are pass races. In fact any race with more then 1 unknown factor should be passed.
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Old 11-03-2017, 11:21 AM   #4
Ted Craven
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If I recall rightly, this race is more often won by Euros and there are plenty.

However, I have had some great scores by simply comparing the Trackmaster SR versus Race Class rating (aka Timefom International ratings) for the Euros versus the North Americans, using the Original screen.

Doing this reveals the #2 Happily (117 SR from a 131 Race Class RC) a standout. A possibility is #10 September (with a 119 SR in a lesser calibre 103 RC race rating) but she is unproven at the distance. I'll add the best looking NA horse #11 Rushing Fall. The 7 and 8 could be underneath.

If I play the BC late Pick4, I have to come up with something, but for a single race wager, though it's not a prime bet for me, if there are any odds on those 2 Euros in particular, it could make for good entertainment.

Or -- PASS

Good luck!

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Old 11-03-2017, 11:22 AM   #5
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While I agree with Richie and Tim, here are my "recreational" Pick 4 tickets for races 6-9. Caveat bettor. Yes, I'm guessing a lot but they're cheaper than Powerball tickets.

Ticket A: 2, 10, 7, 11, 13 WT 3, 6 WT 6, 7 WT 4, 5 ($20)
Ticket B: 2, 10, 7 WT 3, 6 WT 6, 7 WT 2, 6 ($12)
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Old 11-03-2017, 11:22 AM   #6
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I moved this thread to ... The 2017 Breeders Cup Forum.

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Old 11-03-2017, 11:37 AM   #7
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Friday's Pick

R7 - A: Happily - Capla Temptress (my long shot) B: September - Rushing Fall
R8 - A: Cupid - Practical Joke - Post? B: More Spirt -Battle of Midway
R9 - A: Masar - James Garfield B: Untamed Domain - Voting Control
R10 A: Elate B: Able Tasman


Good luck with your selections.....................
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Old 11-03-2017, 12:08 PM   #8
So Cal Al
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Ted:
I use your approach if I must play these races. In Race 6, I had September with a 113 class rating and a 119 SR as a possible play
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Old 11-03-2017, 12:23 PM   #9
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Juvenile Colts Turf race:

The top two Euros on the New Pace Trackmaster ratings have won 6 of the last 9 races with two deep closers (non Euro) the next most prominent.

Euros 1 and 6, deep closer #4

Good luck today
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Old 11-03-2017, 12:29 PM   #10
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I would suggest you use the CR or CR+ depending on the version your using to determine the contenders. Then use a blend of the top 2 foreign with the top two U.S. for contenders. For the 5th contender I would use the 3rd highest foreign horse. This will give you the best of both worlds (ha ha) I believe the CR is better than Timeform SR because it contains 3 different rating and is a more complex rating rather than a single factor.

I also use the Timeform but adjust it, as they run higher than our SR's and their different for turf and dirt.


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