Jim Bradshaw's Matchup - The Final Lesson - 1 year update

[RichieP]

I know when Jim goes to the track he "gets quiet" by closing his eyes and just meditating a bit. Bill saw this upclose when he went down and stayed with Hat. I really need to get down to Tulsa. Having trouble getting someone to look after mom for 4 days. When that is resolved I am GONE.

Richie

[RichieP]

I am going to explain MY way and thought processes when approaching these type races. Then Jim will come on and describe what he sees/does.
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1) In these specific race matchups where NOBODY has shown they want the lead at the FIRST call I look for the horse most likely to take the early lead today and throw him OUT.

In today's race when scanning the horses I figured the #6 Quiet Dare would most likely take the lead early on. Here are his pp's again. last race in mud had an excuse/big trouble at the start.

2nd and 3rd lines back against 22 second first calls he was fairly close at 1c. What got me hooked was in BOTH races he MOVED forward going to the 2nd call after facing those fast 1st calls.

Matched up against the rest of the horses in today's race I felt the #6 was going to get the early lead.
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" When there is NO lead or boss horse crazy things WILL happen Rich. Someone HAS to take the lead and whomever that is AUTOMATICALLY is running OUT of their natural position. You can see them looking around thinking "like what is going on here". They will do crazy things" - The Hat"
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So the first 2 things I do are:
1) TOSS #6 out of the race as a WIN contender right now.

2) Keep his 22.0/ 22.1 first call pace of race in my head. I want to make sure my "other than early" selection is gonna be fast and has shown something when he faced that same pace of race the 6 did. Looking for a positive REACTION in similar pacelines.

Here are the pp's of the horse I believe takes the early lead today therefore putting him out of position and an elimination.

take your time,look at all the horses pp's.

screenshot of #6 Quiet Dare

[RichieP]

Next step for me is to go one by one through the field to find the true contenders.

I entered 22.0 first call in projected pace 1st call so each horse I come to I can QUICKLY see how or IF he reacts well to the same pace the #6 elim faced.

so we start with the 1 horse and move QUICKLY through the field. THIS is how I was taught ok? TRUST first instinct and act on it. Hat does the same thing with me when he works races only he does it SOOO fast its crazy. I'm serious

Horse #1
shows only 1 line against highlighted pace, finished 4th. that's ok. then looked at the horses last FIVE lines and see it is a horror show. doesn't know what it's doing man.

OUT

[RichieP]

Horse 2

faced the pace one time and that was in the mud 10 races back. Don't like evaluating off mud and slop lines BUT he did well.

I keep him for now and mark last line to evaluate against other contenders

IN

[RichieP]

Horse 3

another who's only race looks good against the 22.0 is a slop race. This one however had 2 chances after against slower times on fast tracks and did nothing.

OUT

[RichieP]

Horse #4

never faced 22.0. slow ass horse

OUT

[RichieP]

Horse 5

Faced 22.0 and FASTER pace twice. both fast tracks. both races REACTED well judging by in the money finishes in both

also last line shows QUICK positional move and is a tandem where he defeated the 9 horse.

So far the horse to beat in my opinion.

IN

[RichieP]

Horse 6

we have tossed as first elimination because he gets the lead today and is out of position..

OUT (at post time odds of 2/5.) THIS is Hat Voodoo at work man

[RichieP]

Horse 7

shows a decent race below aginst the 22. last race shows nice quick move

IN

[RichieP]

#8

slow router

OUT