|
Google Site Search | Get RDSS | Sartin Library | RDSS FAQs | Conduct | Register | Site FAQ | Members List | Search | Today's Posts | Mark Forums Read
RDSS Racing Decision Support System – The Modern Sartin Methodology |
|
Thread Tools | Display Modes |
08-30-2008, 09:48 AM | #11 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: NYC and San Diego
Posts: 627
|
Keep in mind on Divine that he's only gone 2 turns once - on the AQU Inner which is a winterized surface (some special type of dirt). Even though the inner track is a mile long and the main track is 1 1/8, the stretch on the Inner is actually 21 ft. longer due to where the turns are positioned.
Divine's other routes are one turn miles which are a different ballgame to the 2 turn, 1 1/8 he'll be asked to go today. The 96 day layoff may or may not help - his last 2 layoffs produced pretty poor efforts. His works look solid and his connections are top notch. From an AOdds APV point of view (don't know how the Hat programmed the APV calc and don't care - they've proven to be very good to me), Curlin is a stickout at 321%, with Out Of Control at 203% and AP Arrow at 92% - no one else is close. Divine Park is 4th but at 35% of purse. AP Arrow looks off form right now. I'll see if I can run it through EXDC later if I have time. Probably not a race I'll be betting. |
08-30-2008, 10:02 AM | #12 |
Match Up Apprentice
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 2,105
|
A bit of research shows me the first 6f in DP's Line #2 have been run in 6f sprint time with those setting these fractions collapsing in the straight to finish a well beaten Last and 2nd last
Too much Early, helps OTE Races like this are the ones to be wary of imo and with this info i'd use another Line doing that would put Curlin on Top
__________________
"To me, The Match Up supercedes everything" Last edited by Charlie D; 08-30-2008 at 10:06 AM. |
08-30-2008, 10:49 AM | #13 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
|
gift
Good morning still early here
Thank you Charlie Rich Mike Lou what a nice post .. I hope you all have great days If Its ok may I give my example of the race ? Bill |
08-30-2008, 10:55 AM | #14 |
Match Up Apprentice
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 2,105
|
Internal fractions
Winchester 22.45 - 22.2 -24.49 - 23.6 Met 22.48 -22.04 - 25.09 - 27.3 Massive difference and in Met fractions were set by probably best Early horse in US Line #2 very iffy imo
__________________
"To me, The Match Up supercedes everything" |
08-30-2008, 10:57 AM | #15 |
Grade 1
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Staten Island, NY
Posts: 3,952
|
Hi Bill...you can do whatever you want....but please stop that picture from looking at me!!
__________________
Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack |
08-30-2008, 11:07 AM | #16 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
|
Sorry
Mike
I turned off the picture I will come up with something nicer Bill |
08-30-2008, 11:12 AM | #17 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Staten Island, NY
Posts: 3,952
|
Quote:
maybe something with boobs will do
__________________
Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack |
|
08-30-2008, 11:47 AM | #18 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
|
|
08-30-2008, 11:51 AM | #19 |
Grade 1
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Staten Island, NY
Posts: 3,952
|
ya never know
OK...do the race would like to hear your incites..
__________________
Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack |
08-30-2008, 12:07 PM | #20 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 1,678
|
Quote:
Or, Ted, if you're around, I'd welcome any input that you can provide on the background of 50% being the recommended figure. |
|
Thread Tools | |
Display Modes | |
|
|
Similar Threads | ||||
Thread | Thread Starter | Forum | Replies | Last Post |
Follow Up Issues 1 - 88 | Bill V. | The Follow Up | 88 | 09-15-2010 09:20 PM |
Poll Question | shoeless | General Discussion | 28 | 09-01-2008 09:36 PM |
Sartin Workshop 3/19/1989 | admin | Audio Collection | 2 | 05-26-2008 09:47 PM |