Another Key Race

[omar]

This year's kentucky derby is now a key race! Exaggerator,Creator and now Mo Tom came back and won their next start. BOOYAH. I gave the 7 horse out as a good thing to a friend of mine in Ohio. He only went off at 87-1 and paid 14.80 to show into a 3/5 shot, Mo Tom in the Ohio Derby and keyed a 149 triple for a buck.
Omar.

[Ted Craven]

...
40862

40863

40864

PSS = default (Config = defaults, with DTV Min/Max = +-15). Keep Top 4 BL.

Don't forget, re #7 and using its 2nd line with a FAST -29 Daily Track Variant: we're only adjusting that very fast final time (and internals) by 50% of -15 DTV points (the Minimum), or -7.5 so we're not slowing it down too much. It would look different if you use 100% of ALL of the DTV (i.e. DTV Min/Max = +-50) - that would slow that line down a lot more - doubt you'd get him tied with Mo Tom for 2nd on the BL line!


.

[Bill V.]

Hi OMAR !

Hi Ted

The 7 horse only gets a 92 speed rating with Validator
you are showing the Parx 8.3 "good" track as 95
I used to be a little weary of those Parx 8.3 lines when they were adjusted to other distances .


Using best of last three comparable and hiding as per Doc's guidelines
the 7 is just about tied with the 8 Not bad for 87/1
Bottom Line Betting Line

TDN0625 8 9.0 D ST 3 $500,000 5:30PM

BOTTOM LINE -- BETTING LINE (VAL4)

HIDE# PNcNAME LdT SR BAL LS TIE ODDS TRKDISTS M/L DAYS AGE

2 6 WILD 1 1 93 4 23.8 EVEN BEL 9.0D 5/1 42 3

1 3 ADVEN1 1 92 4 22.3 EVEN BEL 9.0D 3/1 42 3

4 8 MO TO3 89 6 17.8 5-2 FG 8.5D 5/2 49 3

3 7 DISCR2 92 6 17.3 5-2 PRX 8.3D 15/1 35 3







SYNTHESIS POWER RANKINGS AND FRACTALS
┌──┬─┬─┬────┬────┐┌─────┐ │ PRIM │ SUPP │
│ B│L│T│PRIM│SUPP││FRACT│ │E│L│C│T│H│F│F│S│F│E│T│T│
┌─┬───────────┬───┤ A│S│O├──┬─┼──┬─┤├─┬─┬─┤┌───┬────┐│P│P│P│T│E│W│X│P│X│N│S│P│
│#│PNcNAME LdT│ SR│ L│P│T│LS│R│LS│R││E│L│N││ESP│SCBL││R│R│R│ │ │ │ │N│ │T│ │P│
├─┼───────────┼───┼──┼─┼─┼──┼─┼──┼─┤├─┼─┼─┤├───┼────┤├─┼─┼─┼─┼─┼─┼─┼─┼─┼─┼─┼─┤
│1│ 3 ADVEN1 1│ 92│ 4│4│1│16│2│10│2││2│2│2││SUS│ 1.2││2│3│2│2│3│2│2│2│2│2│2│2│
│2│ 6 WILD 1 1│ 93│ 4│3│2│13│1│ 5│1││3│1│1││SUS│ 2.2││3│1│1│4│2│1│1│1│1│1│1│1│
│3│ 7 DISCR2 │ 92│ 6│2│3│22│4│16│3││1│3│4││PRE│ ││1│4│3│3│4│4│3│3│3│4│3│3│
│4│ 8 MO TO3 │ 89│ 6│1│4│19│3│19│4││4│4│3││SUS│ 4.1││4│2│4│1│1│3│4│4│4│3│4│4│






TDN0625 8 9.0 D ST 3 $500,000 5:30PM 7/10
JOCK/TRAIN R W P S W% R W P S EARNINGS W% EPS R
FLORES, JOSE 71 4 4 5 6 LIFE 12 1 4 1 128,740 8 10,728 7
STLEWIS, URIAH 32 0 0 2 0 CURR 5 0 3 0 43,900 0 8,780 9
PAST 7 1 1 1 84,840 14 12,120 4
ML=15/1 D-RT 4 0 3 0 43,400 0 10,850 7
7 DISCREET LOVER AGE=3 OFF-D 3 0 1 0
COMMENT:
EQUALIZED, NORMALIZED AND ADJUSTED
L DAYSTRK RCODISTSd 1STC 2NDC FINC BL1 BL2 BLS BLF SR ESP L PI
1 35PIM11MY 8.5D 46.5 111.0 148.8 2.60 6.90 6.60 7.80 79 1
2 49PRX 5GD 8.3D 45.1 109.5 147.4 2.70 1.00 2.50 1.80 92 2
3[ 56PRX 7FT 8.0D 47.1 111.2 148.7 4.00 3.00 4.00 0.15 87 3 ]
4 70PRX 7FT 8.3D 47.1 111.2 148.8 2.80 3.60 7.10 5.80 81 4
5 89PRX10GD 6.0Dp 46.2 111.1 150.1 3.60 6.60 4.70 5.10 75 5
6 224LRL 8FT 6.0Dp 47.1 112.1 149.5 2.70 7.00 10.60 12.30 71 6
7 243PRX 8FT 6.0Dp 46.0 111.0 149.6 7.70 12.00 10.60 14.30 69 7
8 273PRX 8FT 6.5Dp 46.4 110.8 149.4 2.10 1.60 2.10 3.50 81 8
9 299PRX 4FT 5.5Dp 45.8 112.0 150.5 6.60 5.10 0.15 0.00 78 9
A 315SAR 1FT 5.5Dp 46.6 112.0 150.7 5.60 6.60 5.70 2.30 75 A
ORIGINAL PACELINES
L DAYSTRK RCODISTS 1STC 2NDC FINC BL1 BL2 BLS BLF SR TV
1 35PIM11MY 8.5D 47.5 112.5 144.9 5-2.6 7-6.9 6-6.6 5-7.8 90 -2
2 49PRX 5GD 8.3D 46.1 110.8 141.2 5-2.7 2-1.0 2-2.5 2-1.8 129 -29
3[ 56PRX 7FT 8.0D 48.4 113.3 139.5 3-4.0 3-3.0 3-4.0 2- hd 114 -18
4 70PRX 7FT 8.3D 48.0 112.4 142.3 6-2.8 5-3.6 5-7.1 3-5.8 104 -19
5 89PRX10GD 6.0D 22.1 45.7 111.9 6-3.6 6-6.6 6-4.7 6-5.1 81 -9
6 224LRL 8FT 6.0D 22.4 45.8 109.7 5-2.7 5-7.0 5- 11 5- 12 73 -7
7 243PRX 8FT 6.0D 22.7 46.7 113.2 8-7.7 8- 12 6- 11 5- 14 44 27
8 273PRX 8FT 6.5D 22.4 45.5 117.4 4-2.1 4-1.6 3-2.1 3-3.5 92 0
9 299PRX 4FT 5.5D 22.1 46.6 105.8 5-6.6 4-5.1 2- hd 1-8.0 95 -10
A 315SAR 1FT 5.5D 22.2 45.6 104.3 5-5.6 5-6.6 6-5.7 5-2.3 72 9
WORK OUTS
4D(FT)PRX: 48.3B 5D(FT)PRX:101.2B 4D(FT)PRX: 47.4B 4D(FT)PRX: 48.4B
4D(FT)PRX: 50.1B 4D(FT)PRX: 49.1Bg 4D(FT)PRX: 47.6B 4D(FT)PRX: 50.0B
FREQUENCY
WORK OUTS 9 14 74 94 99 107 113 231 245 252 259 277