Another Key Race

[omar]

This year's kentucky derby is now a key race! Exaggerator,Creator and now Mo Tom came back and won their next start. BOOYAH. I gave the 7 horse out as a good thing to a friend of mine in Ohio. He only went off at 87-1 and paid 14.80 to show into a 3/5 shot, Mo Tom in the Ohio Derby and keyed a 149 triple for a buck.
Omar.

[Ted Craven]

...






PSS = default (Config = defaults, with DTV Min/Max = +-15). Keep Top 4 BL.

Don't forget, re #7 and using its 2nd line with a FAST -29 Daily Track Variant: we're only adjusting that very fast final time (and internals) by 50% of -15 DTV points (the Minimum), or -7.5 so we're not slowing it down too much. It would look different if you use 100% of ALL of the DTV (i.e. DTV Min/Max = +-50) - that would slow that line down a lot more - doubt you'd get him tied with Mo Tom for 2nd on the BL line!


.

[Bill V.]

Hi OMAR !

Hi Ted

The 7 horse only gets a 92 speed rating with Validator
you are showing the Parx 8.3 "good" track as 95
I used to be a little weary of those Parx 8.3 lines when they were adjusted to other distances .


Using best of last three comparable and hiding as per Doc's guidelines
the 7 is just about tied with the 8 Not bad for 87/1
Bottom Line Betting Line

              TDN0625 8 9.0 D ST 3   $500,000 5:30PM

                      BOTTOM LINE -- BETTING LINE (VAL4)

HIDE#  PNcNAME LdT  SR  BAL    LS TIE ODDS   TRKDISTS  M/L DAYS AGE

    2   6 WILD 1 1  93    4  23.8     EVEN   BEL 9.0D  5/1   42   3

    1   3 ADVEN1 1  92    4  22.3     EVEN   BEL 9.0D  3/1   42   3

    4   8 MO TO3    89    6  17.8      5-2   FG  8.5D  5/2   49   3

    3   7 DISCR2    92    6  17.3      5-2   PRX 8.3D 15/1   35   3







                     SYNTHESIS POWER RANKINGS AND FRACTALS
                  ┌──┬─┬─┬────┬────┐┌─────┐          │    PRIM     │  SUPP   │
                  │ B│L│T│PRIM│SUPP││FRACT│          │E│L│C│T│H│F│F│S│F│E│T│T│
┌─┬───────────┬───┤ A│S│O├──┬─┼──┬─┤├─┬─┬─┤┌───┬────┐│P│P│P│T│E│W│X│P│X│N│S│P│
│#│PNcNAME LdT│ SR│ L│P│T│LS│R│LS│R││E│L│N││ESP│SCBL││R│R│R│ │ │ │ │N│ │T│ │P│
├─┼───────────┼───┼──┼─┼─┼──┼─┼──┼─┤├─┼─┼─┤├───┼────┤├─┼─┼─┼─┼─┼─┼─┼─┼─┼─┼─┼─┤
│1│ 3 ADVEN1 1│ 92│ 4│4│1│16│2│10│2││2│2│2││SUS│ 1.2││2│3│2│2│3│2│2│2│2│2│2│2│
│2│ 6 WILD 1 1│ 93│ 4│3│2│13│1│ 5│1││3│1│1││SUS│ 2.2││3│1│1│4│2│1│1│1│1│1│1│1│
│3│ 7 DISCR2  │ 92│ 6│2│3│22│4│16│3││1│3│4││PRE│    ││1│4│3│3│4│4│3│3│3│4│3│3│
│4│ 8 MO TO3  │ 89│ 6│1│4│19│3│19│4││4│4│3││SUS│ 4.1││4│2│4│1│1│3│4│4│4│3│4│4│

                  TDN0625 8 9.0 D ST 3   $500,000 5:30PM                   7/10
JOCK/TRAIN       R   W   P   S   W%        R  W  P  S  EARNINGS   W%      EPS  R
FLORES, JOSE    71   4   4   5    6 LIFE  12  1  4  1   128,740    8   10,728  7
STLEWIS, URIAH  32   0   0   2    0 CURR   5  0  3  0    43,900    0    8,780  9
                                    PAST   7  1  1  1    84,840   14   12,120  4
ML=15/1                             D-RT   4  0  3  0    43,400    0   10,850  7
  7 DISCREET LOVER           AGE=3  OFF-D  3  0  1  0
 COMMENT:
                      EQUALIZED, NORMALIZED AND ADJUSTED
L DAYSTRK RCODISTSd 1STC  2NDC  FINC   BL1   BL2   BLS   BLF  SR  ESP     L PI
1   35PIM11MY 8.5D  46.5 111.0 148.8  2.60  6.90  6.60  7.80  79          1
2   49PRX 5GD 8.3D  45.1 109.5 147.4  2.70  1.00  2.50  1.80  92          2
3[  56PRX 7FT 8.0D  47.1 111.2 148.7  4.00  3.00  4.00  0.15  87          3    ]
4   70PRX 7FT 8.3D  47.1 111.2 148.8  2.80  3.60  7.10  5.80  81          4
5   89PRX10GD 6.0Dp 46.2 111.1 150.1  3.60  6.60  4.70  5.10  75          5
6  224LRL 8FT 6.0Dp 47.1 112.1 149.5  2.70  7.00 10.60 12.30  71          6
7  243PRX 8FT 6.0Dp 46.0 111.0 149.6  7.70 12.00 10.60 14.30  69          7
8  273PRX 8FT 6.5Dp 46.4 110.8 149.4  2.10  1.60  2.10  3.50  81          8
9  299PRX 4FT 5.5Dp 45.8 112.0 150.5  6.60  5.10  0.15  0.00  78          9
A  315SAR 1FT 5.5Dp 46.6 112.0 150.7  5.60  6.60  5.70  2.30  75          A
                              ORIGINAL PACELINES
L DAYSTRK RCODISTS  1STC  2NDC  FINC    BL1    BL2    BLS    BLF   SR  TV
1    35PIM11MY 8.5D  47.5 112.5 144.9  5-2.6  7-6.9  6-6.6  5-7.8  90  -2
2    49PRX 5GD 8.3D  46.1 110.8 141.2  5-2.7  2-1.0  2-2.5  2-1.8 129 -29
3[   56PRX 7FT 8.0D  48.4 113.3 139.5  3-4.0  3-3.0  3-4.0  2- hd 114 -18
4    70PRX 7FT 8.3D  48.0 112.4 142.3  6-2.8  5-3.6  5-7.1  3-5.8 104 -19
5    89PRX10GD 6.0D  22.1  45.7 111.9  6-3.6  6-6.6  6-4.7  6-5.1  81  -9
6   224LRL 8FT 6.0D  22.4  45.8 109.7  5-2.7  5-7.0  5- 11  5- 12  73  -7
7   243PRX 8FT 6.0D  22.7  46.7 113.2  8-7.7  8- 12  6- 11  5- 14  44  27
8   273PRX 8FT 6.5D  22.4  45.5 117.4  4-2.1  4-1.6  3-2.1  3-3.5  92   0
9   299PRX 4FT 5.5D  22.1  46.6 105.8  5-6.6  4-5.1  2- hd  1-8.0  95 -10
A   315SAR 1FT 5.5D  22.2  45.6 104.3  5-5.6  5-6.6  6-5.7  5-2.3  72   9
                                   WORK OUTS
 4D(FT)PRX: 48.3B  5D(FT)PRX:101.2B  4D(FT)PRX: 47.4B  4D(FT)PRX: 48.4B
 4D(FT)PRX: 50.1B  4D(FT)PRX: 49.1Bg 4D(FT)PRX: 47.6B  4D(FT)PRX: 50.0B
                                   FREQUENCY
WORK OUTS    9   14   74   94   99  107  113  231  245  252  259  277