Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up (http://paceandcap.com/forums/index.php)

- Previous 'Handicapping Discussion' Forum (http://paceandcap.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=9)

- - It's not the software (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=4106)

The software is only a tool.

Compare it to a screwdriver. MOST only use it the way the instructions dictate. Other enterprising people use it to scratch their names in metal or to open cans.....You are only limited by your imagination.

Quote:

There was a race yesterday at Fort Erie where I didnt go deep enough into a horses pp's[Pino pointed ths out to me].After the race ended I went back and entered that line and darn if that horse didnt come out on top and he paid 20-1

I've learned when evaluating trainer patterns or looking a horse’s with poor recent from that I think will improve, to ask the question - If this horse runs his race, can he win? An empirical evaluation of long shots showed me that when dealing with older longer shot winners, most of the time they showed a race in their PP's that was competitive with today's field. Young ( 2 & 3 year old) long shots tend to be of the dramatic improvement variety

<TABLE class=tborder cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=6 width="100%" align=center border=0><TBODY><TR title="Post 35075" vAlign=top><TD class=alt1 align=middle width=125>Shoeless:</TD><TD class=alt2>Quote:
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=6 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=alt2 style="BORDER-RIGHT: 1px inset; BORDER-TOP: 1px inset; BORDER-LEFT: 1px inset; BORDER-BOTTOM: 1px inset">There was a race yesterday at Fort Erie where I didnt go deep enough into a horses pp's[Pino pointed ths out to me].After the race ended I went back and entered that line and darn if that horse didnt come out on top and he paid 20-1 </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

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delayjf: QUOTE]I've learned when evaluating trainer patterns or looking a horse’s with poor recent from that I think will improve, to ask the question - If this horse runs his race, can he win? An empirical evaluation of long shots showed me that when dealing with older longer shot winners, most of the time they showed a race in their PP's that was competitive with today's field. Young ( 2 & 3 year old) long shots tend to be of the dramatic improvement variety[/quote]

Your thoughts are well taken. It seems you are a handicapper in every sense of the word. Please take a look at a race I bet on Monday night at MNR. I think you might appreciate and understand it. The "Early" one dimensional horse that won had shown poor recent form going back to last October but came up as a spot play in the method that I used and at a price. If you have questions about this. Please email me. My email is listed.