Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   Arlington Park R3 090607 (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=2831)

Nets 09-07-2007 09:30 AM

Arlington Park R3 090607
 
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#7 was big favorite, but thought enough to like about the #6 to place a bet at more than generous odds. 2nd BLBL

Nets 09-07-2007 09:33 AM

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Very close energy #, good EP

Nets 09-07-2007 09:38 AM

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Here are the results

Nets 09-07-2007 09:41 AM

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Made for another nice day thanks to RDSS!

Ted Craven 09-07-2007 09:46 AM

Great work Gary! And a great example of the 'wagercapping' notion of hiding (or ignoring) or the heavy favourite if you don't intend to bet it, also if another horse in the top 3 has good corollary support, as you demonstrate.

Of course, the generous mutuel makes it easier to ignore the favourite in this example. I have difficulty sometimes when the odds are less generous and the top ranked horse is so dominant: pass, let it beat you, or lose more races but collect more $ in the long run?

Congrats!

Ted

Nets 09-07-2007 09:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ted Craven (Post 23522)
Great work Gary! And a great example of the 'wagercapping' notion of hiding (or ignoring) or the heavy favourite if you don't intend to bet it, also if another horse in the top 3 has good corollary support, as you demonstrate.

Of course, the generous mutuel makes it easier to ignore the favourite in this example. I have difficulty sometimes when the odds are less generous and the top ranked horse is so dominant: pass, let it beat you, or lose more races but collect more $ in the long run?

Congrats!

Ted

Thanks Ted,

I agree, and in this case the #1 BLBL was 1/1 and the #3 BLBL 2/1. The 16/1 odds for the #2 BLBL was simply too good to pass up with the reasonably decent corollaries.

Gary

admin 09-07-2007 10:10 PM

Nice
 
Hi Gary (Nets)

Very nice work not only the 7 but I see the 5 was also just 2/1
I admire you taking a shot with the 6
you made a very nice decision. Congratulations

I see you bet the horse win only Very nice
do you ever back up with place and show or use the exacta as a place bet ?

Nets 09-07-2007 11:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by admin (Post 23532)
Hi Gary (Nets)

Very nice work not only the 7 but I see the 5 was also just 2/1
I admire you taking a shot with the 6
you made a very nice decision. Congratulations

I see you bet the horse win only Very nice
do you ever back up with place and show or use the exacta as a place bet ?

Thanks Bill,

Yes, often use the exacta as place, but time was short and I wanted to at least take the chance for a nice payoff. That's one area that I am working on - to come up with a consistent wagering style. Getting better but a long way to go.

Gary


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