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RDSS Racing Decision Support System – The Modern Sartin Methodology

 
 
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Old 09-07-2007, 09:30 AM   #1
Nets
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Arlington Park R3 090607

#7 was big favorite, but thought enough to like about the #6 to place a bet at more than generous odds. 2nd BLBL
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Old 09-07-2007, 09:33 AM   #2
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Very close energy #, good EP
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Old 09-07-2007, 09:38 AM   #3
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Here are the results
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Old 09-07-2007, 09:41 AM   #4
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Made for another nice day thanks to RDSS!
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Old 09-07-2007, 09:46 AM   #5
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Great work Gary! And a great example of the 'wagercapping' notion of hiding (or ignoring) or the heavy favourite if you don't intend to bet it, also if another horse in the top 3 has good corollary support, as you demonstrate.

Of course, the generous mutuel makes it easier to ignore the favourite in this example. I have difficulty sometimes when the odds are less generous and the top ranked horse is so dominant: pass, let it beat you, or lose more races but collect more $ in the long run?

Congrats!

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Old 09-07-2007, 09:52 AM   #6
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Originally Posted by Ted Craven View Post
Great work Gary! And a great example of the 'wagercapping' notion of hiding (or ignoring) or the heavy favourite if you don't intend to bet it, also if another horse in the top 3 has good corollary support, as you demonstrate.

Of course, the generous mutuel makes it easier to ignore the favourite in this example. I have difficulty sometimes when the odds are less generous and the top ranked horse is so dominant: pass, let it beat you, or lose more races but collect more $ in the long run?

Congrats!

Ted
Thanks Ted,

I agree, and in this case the #1 BLBL was 1/1 and the #3 BLBL 2/1. The 16/1 odds for the #2 BLBL was simply too good to pass up with the reasonably decent corollaries.

Gary
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Old 09-07-2007, 10:10 PM   #7
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Nice

Hi Gary (Nets)

Very nice work not only the 7 but I see the 5 was also just 2/1
I admire you taking a shot with the 6
you made a very nice decision. Congratulations

I see you bet the horse win only Very nice
do you ever back up with place and show or use the exacta as a place bet ?
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Old 09-07-2007, 11:22 PM   #8
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Hi Gary (Nets)

Very nice work not only the 7 but I see the 5 was also just 2/1
I admire you taking a shot with the 6
you made a very nice decision. Congratulations

I see you bet the horse win only Very nice
do you ever back up with place and show or use the exacta as a place bet ?
Thanks Bill,

Yes, often use the exacta as place, but time was short and I wanted to at least take the chance for a nice payoff. That's one area that I am working on - to come up with a consistent wagering style. Getting better but a long way to go.

Gary
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