Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

Bill V. · 04-07-2009, 06:34 PM

Hello BluewaterBill

Welcome to Pace and Cap

I try to follow Doc's guidelines from private phone instuctions ,My visit to the O'Henry Office, Manuals Videos and mostly from The Follow Ups

I have used a pace line selection method from the beginning which for me
started with PL4 then sysnthesis then all the Validator prorams
Speculator and RDSS

I use and look at only the adjusted paceline screen. I take the paceline
of the last 3 races with the best speed rating Most of the time its the one with the highest number. But If I told you to take the speed rating with the
highest number that would not be what Doc meant by the "Best of the last
3 at a comperable distance surface and class".

I am looking at these 3 or 4 or maybe 5 races for a speed rating
fast enough to compete with the fastest horses in each races
match up. as I open each horses past performance I look at
its last three or so races and get an idea of what a horse can
run from its past speed ratings

In the example here from MNR race 4 # 4
I have selected line 1 with a 74 speed rating. If I were just to say I take
the highest speed ratings of the last three races then I would take line 3 with the 79. But line 3 is not the line for this horse in my opinion
I have explained further in the notepad sub box

I pay little attention to recency for the better APV/CR horses
I am not so quick to go back for lines on horses with poor
APV and Class ratings

Thanks
Bill

04-07-2009, 06:34 PM	#7
Bill V. The egg man Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Carlsbad, California Posts: 10,005	BluewaterBill Hello BluewaterBill Welcome to Pace and Cap I try to follow Doc's guidelines from private phone instuctions ,My visit to the O'Henry Office, Manuals Videos and mostly from The Follow Ups I have used a pace line selection method from the beginning which for me started with PL4 then sysnthesis then all the Validator prorams Speculator and RDSS I use and look at only the adjusted paceline screen. I take the paceline of the last 3 races with the best speed rating Most of the time its the one with the highest number. But If I told you to take the speed rating with the highest number that would not be what Doc meant by the "Best of the last 3 at a comperable distance surface and class". I am looking at these 3 or 4 or maybe 5 races for a speed rating fast enough to compete with the fastest horses in each races match up. as I open each horses past performance I look at its last three or so races and get an idea of what a horse can run from its past speed ratings In the example here from MNR race 4 # 4 I have selected line 1 with a 74 speed rating. If I were just to say I take the highest speed ratings of the last three races then I would take line 3 with the 79. But line 3 is not the line for this horse in my opinion I have explained further in the notepad sub box I pay little attention to recency for the better APV/CR horses I am not so quick to go back for lines on horses with poor APV and Class ratings Thanks Bill Attached Images