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#6 |
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The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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BluewaterBill
Hello BluewaterBill
Welcome to Pace and Cap I try to follow Doc's guidelines from private phone instuctions ,My visit to the O'Henry Office, Manuals Videos and mostly from The Follow Ups I have used a pace line selection method from the beginning which for me started with PL4 then sysnthesis then all the Validator prorams Speculator and RDSS I use and look at only the adjusted paceline screen. I take the paceline of the last 3 races with the best speed rating Most of the time its the one with the highest number. But If I told you to take the speed rating with the highest number that would not be what Doc meant by the "Best of the last 3 at a comperable distance surface and class". I am looking at these 3 or 4 or maybe 5 races for a speed rating fast enough to compete with the fastest horses in each races match up. as I open each horses past performance I look at its last three or so races and get an idea of what a horse can run from its past speed ratings In the example here from MNR race 4 # 4 I have selected line 1 with a 74 speed rating. If I were just to say I take the highest speed ratings of the last three races then I would take line 3 with the 79. But line 3 is not the line for this horse in my opinion I have explained further in the notepad sub box I pay little attention to recency for the better APV/CR horses I am not so quick to go back for lines on horses with poor APV and Class ratings Thanks Bill |
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