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Old 01-07-2010, 12:28 PM   #10
For The Lead
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Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 1,292
Quote:
Originally Posted by J2EEDeveloper View Post
That is extremely helpful. Thanks! Stated another way, 91% of entries with APV in the range 1-7 (10-70% of today's purse) failed to win. I know there are always exceptions, but I have a very strong feeling that they would be in the 6-7 range, rather than 5 or lower.

APV is seriously tweaked (especially in East) by state-bred bonuses, and is not as useful as it may once have been as a standalone factor. However, in combination with the CR, it may be useful in contender selection.

Again, thank you for the information.
You are correct, but not specifically in the east. This is true in state bred races in "any" state. The way to handle this is, if you are able to determine that a goodly portion of the horses earnings come from state bred racing, you can lower the APV by 20% as that is approximately how much the purses are inflated in state bred races.
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