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| Pace Makes the Race / TPR Total Pace Ratings Discussion, Examples, Lessons from Total Pace Ratings (TPR) aka 'Phase I' from the book 'Pace Makes the Race' |
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06-15-2019, 01:49 PM
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#1 |
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The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Saturday Monmouth Fulcrums
Race 1 is a 5.5 turf sprint
the only qualifier would be the 7 But there are no internals so there is no measurable fulcrum in race 1 |
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06-15-2019, 02:04 PM
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#2 |
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The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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The 7
The seven tried to go wire to wire but faded badly in the stretch
The favorite, the only horse with a plus paceline at a comparable distance, surface but off over 200 days wins |
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06-15-2019, 02:09 PM
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#3 |
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The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Race 2
Race 2
The only qualifier is the 6 horse In a short field, The EPR is a mild 72 EPR |
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06-15-2019, 02:36 PM
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#4 |
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The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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When
When I saw this horse, off the big drop for Juarez at 1/9
I was correct in passing The fulcrum 6 was never involved in a slow 115 EP |
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06-15-2019, 02:41 PM
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#5 |
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The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Race 3
This is the fulcrum with a 96 EPR
the 5 is close behind at 94 so the pace will be quick |
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06-15-2019, 02:54 PM
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#6 |
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The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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1 - 2
The 2 top qualifiers run away from the pace after being close at the second
call. The exacta 3/5 comes in but the 3 is 1/5 |
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06-15-2019, 03:02 PM
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#7 |
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The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Race 4
Finally, it looks like something we can bet
Here is the fulcrum |
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06-15-2019, 03:28 PM
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#8 |
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The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Result
the 3 and 5 run a close 112.40 well ahead of the group
The 3 goes on but the 5 fades |
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06-15-2019, 03:33 PM
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#9 |
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The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Race 5
We are back to a turf sprint
This is the easy fulcrum with a 90 EPR and a E5 |
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06-15-2019, 03:58 PM
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#10 |
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The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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The nine wins easy
The 9 takes the 5th
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