Delta Downs Saturday Night - 1/13/18 - Pace and Cap

RichieP · 01-12-2018, 06:12 AM

Here is a 5f stakes sprint from Ded tomorrow night. Looks interesting to say the least

All are welcome to chime in and if someone can post the result chart after the race I'd greatly appreciate it!

RichieP · 01-12-2018, 06:15 AM

horses!

Bill V. · 01-13-2018, 02:27 PM

Thanks for posting this race

I do have some races from my Jan_2018 All track/races model
I have copied the 5 furlong sprints form that model onto a separate model,
Its only 6 races. It includes all race conditions , I hope it helps folks a little

Here is the file

DED Model.xls

Good skill for all who can post there chouces

The Pook · 01-13-2018, 09:00 PM

DED 10 JAN 13

The speed. Much speed. Matched speed. Got to be OTE. Easy to draw a projected 22/45.1 pace. #1,#3, and #5 will be on that. All win from the front. #1 has won from 5th but seems a speedster really.

#6, and #7 are OTE and can maybe be up on this pace. They have only won from 2nd or 3rd up close to slower paces. #2 has been sort of competitive but was trounced by the #4 last out. #8 doesn't appear quick enough.

#4 would be the guy. A proven winner. Wins from fourth, third, and almost from 10th on the turf. Comfortable with being a few lengths back. Has killer power moves. Knows how to pass. It is only 5 furlongs so he can't lallygag. And he will have to find a way through. But I think #4 is the guy.

Thanks for the race Rich. I would not have noticed otherwise. I'll see what the odds end up being. He is one of the favourites. Could fall out of range.

#4 WIN
Pook

Mitch44 · 01-13-2018, 11:04 PM

I think this # 1 is a NTL and will be pressed by the 5 & 3. I think the 6 & 4 can lay close enough to take it in the stretch.
Order; 6-4-3-7-2
Mitch44

Bill V. · 01-13-2018, 11:09 PM

Good Skill Mike and Mitch

Rich I will go with the 1 and 6

Hope they run to their ratings. I also like the 4 like you and Mitch. Its just the great race after a 200 day layoff. The 4 has no other back to back wins

Bill

Mitch44 · 01-14-2018, 12:25 AM

COMPLETED: 00bab-67f50 DED
#10
$4 Win4none $4.00 $0.00
- $4.00
Claim Winnings
Claim Winnings
COMPLETED: f5f92-9cf56 DED
#10
$7 Win6none $7.00 $18.20
+ $11.20
Alive for DD
Mitch44

Bill V. · 01-14-2018, 12:45 AM

Nice win Mitch

I got the "late in the night" daily double

Name: win double.PNG
Views: 1075
Size: 7.0 KB

Mitch44 · 01-14-2018, 12:57 AM

I had the # 10 for the DD and it lost by a neck ,placed.
Nice play Bill. Hard to get a price there tonight and lots of low paying winners.
They hammer them down.
Mitch44

The Pook · 01-14-2018, 11:20 AM

DED Res

Mitch and Bill both had the winner which was hammered down from the 6-1 morning line. They each profited in different ways from the race. Nice plays. I ended up passing the #4 which was 5/2 just before post. I thought that was too low for a come from behind type at only 5 furlongs. Sure enough OTE was the answer. But an OTE closer to the pace which was slightly slower than anticipated.

Pook

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01-12-2018, 06:12 AM	#1
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,019	Delta Downs Saturday Night - 1/13/18 Here is a 5f stakes sprint from Ded tomorrow night. Looks interesting to say the least All are welcome to chime in and if someone can post the result chart after the race I'd greatly appreciate it! Attached Images __________________ "Grampy I'm talking to you!"

01-12-2018, 06:15 AM	#2
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,019	horses! Attached Images __________________ "Grampy I'm talking to you!"

01-13-2018, 02:27 PM	#3
Bill V. The egg man Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Carlsbad, California Posts: 10,005	Hello Richie Thanks for posting this race I do have some races from my Jan_2018 All track/races model I have copied the 5 furlong sprints form that model onto a separate model, Its only 6 races. It includes all race conditions , I hope it helps folks a little Here is the file DED Model.xls Good skill for all who can post there chouces

01-13-2018, 09:00 PM	#4
The Pook Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2014 Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada Posts: 2,847	DED 10 JAN 13 The speed. Much speed. Matched speed. Got to be OTE. Easy to draw a projected 22/45.1 pace. #1,#3, and #5 will be on that. All win from the front. #1 has won from 5th but seems a speedster really. #6, and #7 are OTE and can maybe be up on this pace. They have only won from 2nd or 3rd up close to slower paces. #2 has been sort of competitive but was trounced by the #4 last out. #8 doesn't appear quick enough. #4 would be the guy. A proven winner. Wins from fourth, third, and almost from 10th on the turf. Comfortable with being a few lengths back. Has killer power moves. Knows how to pass. It is only 5 furlongs so he can't lallygag. And he will have to find a way through. But I think #4 is the guy. Thanks for the race Rich. I would not have noticed otherwise. I'll see what the odds end up being. He is one of the favourites. Could fall out of range. #4 WIN Pook

01-13-2018, 11:04 PM	#5
Mitch44 Grade 1 Join Date: Nov 2014 Location: The Villages, Fl. Posts: 3,872	I think this # 1 is a NTL and will be pressed by the 5 & 3. I think the 6 & 4 can lay close enough to take it in the stretch. Order; 6-4-3-7-2 Mitch44

01-13-2018, 11:09 PM	#6
Bill V. The egg man Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Carlsbad, California Posts: 10,005	DeD 10 Good Skill Mike and Mitch Rich I will go with the 1 and 6 Hope they run to their ratings. I also like the 4 like you and Mitch. Its just the great race after a 200 day layoff. The 4 has no other back to back wins Bill Last edited by Bill V.; 01-13-2018 at 11:12 PM.

01-14-2018, 12:25 AM	#7
Mitch44 Grade 1 Join Date: Nov 2014 Location: The Villages, Fl. Posts: 3,872	COMPLETED: 00bab-67f50 DED #10 $4 Win4none $4.00 $0.00 - $4.00 Claim Winnings Claim Winnings COMPLETED: f5f92-9cf56 DED #10 $7 Win6none $7.00 $18.20 + $11.20 Alive for DD Mitch44 Last edited by Mitch44; 01-14-2018 at 12:27 AM.

01-14-2018, 12:45 AM	#8
Bill V. The egg man Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Carlsbad, California Posts: 10,005	Daily Double Nice win Mitch I got the "late in the night" daily double

01-14-2018, 12:57 AM	#9
Mitch44 Grade 1 Join Date: Nov 2014 Location: The Villages, Fl. Posts: 3,872	I had the # 10 for the DD and it lost by a neck ,placed. Nice play Bill. Hard to get a price there tonight and lots of low paying winners. They hammer them down. Mitch44

01-14-2018, 11:20 AM	#10
The Pook Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2014 Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada Posts: 2,847	DED Res Mitch and Bill both had the winner which was hammered down from the 6-1 morning line. They each profited in different ways from the race. Nice plays. I ended up passing the #4 which was 5/2 just before post. I thought that was too low for a come from behind type at only 5 furlongs. Sure enough OTE was the answer. But an OTE closer to the pace which was slightly slower than anticipated. Pook Attached Images