Hollywood - Tonight - Pace and Cap

RichieP · 05-07-2010, 07:10 AM

The 5th race tonight is an 8f turf contest with the post about 8:50 PM Eastern

Race conditions and entries

RichieP · 05-07-2010, 07:12 AM

The field with the middle tab on RDSS set on the tandem finishes

RichieP · 05-07-2010, 07:14 AM

...

raceman5 · 05-07-2010, 07:56 AM

i'll take 2-9

Bob

tleusin · 05-07-2010, 10:35 AM

the true contenders seem to be 2,4,8 and 9. the pace I would assign is 22.9, 45.8,110.2 and 134.4( a synthesis of 4 and 8 where one was leading).
The 4 is fplr but is a ntl and I do not believe he will hold the lead
The eight is more versatile Will the 4 cook him?
The 2 and 9 are ote and ran well last against this pace. In their tandems the 9 showed more ability to handle the faster pace.

Turf racing befuddles me almost as much as synthetic. I seldom bet it.
Will take the 8 and 9 though I would not be surprised to hear Richie chuckling in the background as the 4 wires the field.

mikesal57 · 05-07-2010, 11:26 AM

looking at charts last few days , I see the winners keeping it close to leaders and not from coming out of it as turf races usually run...

w/p #7

gl
mike

TPace · 05-07-2010, 11:53 AM

The race sets up for OTE, with the 2, 7, 8, and 9 as contenders. The probability of a fast pace (109.4 or so) exists. I like the 9.

Another good lesson race from Richie.

pktruckdriver · 05-07-2010, 01:21 PM

I will bet 4 and 9 as my dutch win bet.

RichieP · 05-07-2010, 03:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RichieP

The 5th race tonight is an 8f turf contest with the post about 8:50 PM Eastern

Make the post about 11:50 PM eastern time

PeteC · 05-07-2010, 06:13 PM

Alright, let's take a shot at Hollywood tonight...

Here's what I see with the early scenario:
#1 Has won from 1st or 2nd position. Won line 2 vs 48 112.2 but failed last out when not getting the lead vs 48.2 112. The other E's must be slower than that for me to consider him.

#4 set a 45.4 109.2 last time before fading, so #1 is out. That was a very fast pace so I look at line 3 with a close 3rd finish vs 47.3 111.1. Must project to get a clear lead for me to conisder further.

#6 Another that needs a clear lead. Just fought a faded a bit vs 47.2 111.0.

#7 went wtw last out vs 48.1 112.3. Has also won ote from 1oth position early.

#8 fought 1st 2 calls in FPLR 45.2 109.1! This right here eliminates #4 and #6 for me. I then see line 2 where he won from 4th at 1st call vs 46 110.1.

This leaves me with #7 and #8 who have the early or ote style. #8 looks much faster to me based on line 2.

Good luck! You've gotta stay up late back east for this one

05-07-2010, 07:12 AM	#2
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,019	The field with the middle tab on RDSS set on the tandem finishes Attached Images __________________ "Grampy I'm talking to you!"

05-07-2010, 07:14 AM	#3
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,019	... Attached Images __________________ "Grampy I'm talking to you!"

Similar Threads
Thread	Thread Starter	Forum	Replies	Last Post
HANA / Hollywood American Oaks	RichieP	Previous 'Handicapping Discussion' Forum	7	07-05-2009 08:06 PM
Hollywood 6/21 race 8	RichieP	Previous 'Handicapping Discussion' Forum	2	06-21-2009 07:54 PM
Grade 1 Turf at Hollywood	RichieP	Matchup Discussion	21	05-30-2009 11:11 PM
Hollywood Short Term Track Profile	RichieP	Previous 'Handicapping Discussion' Forum	0	05-16-2009 08:13 AM
Anyone working through Penn or Mnr tonight?	sq764	RDSS	3	04-11-2009 05:46 PM

05-07-2010, 07:10 AM	#1
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,019	Hollywood - Tonight The 5th race tonight is an 8f turf contest with the post about 8:50 PM Eastern Race conditions and entries Attached Images __________________ "Grampy I'm talking to you!"

05-07-2010, 07:56 AM	#4
raceman5 Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2007 Location: Largo Fl. Posts: 2,363	Hol i'll take 2-9 Bob

05-07-2010, 10:35 AM	#5
tleusin Grade 1 Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 117	the true contenders seem to be 2,4,8 and 9. the pace I would assign is 22.9, 45.8,110.2 and 134.4( a synthesis of 4 and 8 where one was leading). The 4 is fplr but is a ntl and I do not believe he will hold the lead The eight is more versatile Will the 4 cook him? The 2 and 9 are ote and ran well last against this pace. In their tandems the 9 showed more ability to handle the faster pace. Turf racing befuddles me almost as much as synthetic. I seldom bet it. Will take the 8 and 9 though I would not be surprised to hear Richie chuckling in the background as the 4 wires the field.

05-07-2010, 11:26 AM	#6
mikesal57 Grade 1 Join Date: May 2008 Location: Staten Island, NY Posts: 3,952	looking at charts last few days , I see the winners keeping it close to leaders and not from coming out of it as turf races usually run... w/p #7 gl mike __________________ Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack

05-07-2010, 11:53 AM	#7
TPace AlwNW1X Join Date: Feb 2010 Posts: 14	The race sets up for OTE, with the 2, 7, 8, and 9 as contenders. The probability of a fast pace (109.4 or so) exists. I like the 9. Another good lesson race from Richie.

05-07-2010, 01:21 PM	#8
pktruckdriver Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2009 Location: Saratoga Springs Posts: 1,547	I will bet 4 and 9 as my dutch win bet.

05-07-2010, 06:13 PM	#10
PeteC Grade 1 Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 611	Alright, let's take a shot at Hollywood tonight... Here's what I see with the early scenario: #1 Has won from 1st or 2nd position. Won line 2 vs 48 112.2 but failed last out when not getting the lead vs 48.2 112. The other E's must be slower than that for me to consider him. #4 set a 45.4 109.2 last time before fading, so #1 is out. That was a very fast pace so I look at line 3 with a close 3rd finish vs 47.3 111.1. Must project to get a clear lead for me to conisder further. #6 Another that needs a clear lead. Just fought a faded a bit vs 47.2 111.0. #7 went wtw last out vs 48.1 112.3. Has also won ote from 1oth position early. #8 fought 1st 2 calls in FPLR 45.2 109.1! This right here eliminates #4 and #6 for me. I then see line 2 where he won from 4th at 1st call vs 46 110.1. This leaves me with #7 and #8 who have the early or ote style. #8 looks much faster to me based on line 2. Good luck! You've gotta stay up late back east for this one