You don't have to read this.

[froggy]

Some day, when I grow up, with half of my brain tied behind my back, maybe I'll be able to use my harness my abilities and put them on the track and straighten them out down the stretch and be first across the finish line if there is one.

This morning as I was going through the card at Belmont and listening to the prognosticators and pundits on the radio explaining how and who was the best trainer and best jockey for this style of race and which was the best bred horse with the best Beyer number and then going to another web site and reading about all of the individuals selections for win, I realized just how fortunate I am to have what is here.

Pace and Cap has some of the worlds greatest handicappers as regular contributors and they are unselfish with their knowledge, all I have to do is ask.
I have in my hands the worlds most copied handicapping programs.
I even have something that others only dream about and that is Perceptor to help me choose the right pace line when all the copycats have is the DRF.

I have a wagering strategy that is superior.

Any of the Sartin like programs work from TPR numbers to Phase III on up to the present.
With reasonable skill winning 60% plus betting two horses is pretty much standard.
And if I feel we need to exceed that percentage then all I have to do is build some working track models.

I need only to stop trying to find the holy grail and use what I have in front of me.

Here are two of my weaknesses.

First is my love of the Energy program and Ultra-Scan. I spend time working with them trying to get better and better understanding their readouts.
I should instead only be working with RDSS since it is a whole lot easier to use and understand and gets the same horses in much less time.

Second when wagering I always stick to the plan except like last night I was up considerably at Mnr and then all of a sudden I had lost 1/3 of my bankroll.
I had thought I couldn't loose and was starting to bet larger and larger amounts and some trifectas when the law of averages suddenly caught up with me and slapped me across the wallet.

All of the time I'd put in with careful handicapping and wagering to build things up was lost in just a few moments of ego and greed.

Today is the beginning of the rest of my life.

Froggy

[admin]

Wow froggy
thank you for the very nice comments about the workers
here and about P-C and Docs programs

I also have just about given up on the experts sites

All i end up doing is worse when I go to much mainstream
Its all fun and we're are all looking for something
With your great skills you will surely do well
GS
Bill

[chris]

Would love to exorcise all my demons, but they won't let go. The best I can do is tame them somewhat, keep them on a short lead, but mostly learn to live with them; they'll have their day despite my best efforts.

It's tough to say good bye to old programs, old friends. When I began with RDSS - it's only been a few days - I committed to using it exclusively. If I want to compare it with other programs, I do it in the evening after the races. I've stopped the second guessing.

Your second point, staying with "the betting plan" may be one of those gremlins we learn to live with, or we don't! The best I can do, is shut down right after one of those exhilirating big $ wins. It's unlikely I'll do it twice, I've proved to myself that my emotional matrix can only handle one a day, and it, above all, is the final arbiter of my success or failure.

A great post Froggy.

Regards,
Chris

[uncleroughy]

"recollections" If I remember correctly the Doc indicated in many of his FU's that success in this game of ours was mostly psychological. Thanks Froggy for reminding us of this all important factor.

[socantra]

An old friend at the track used to tell me to take a short break after either a big win or a big loss to let my head even back out. It has served me well.

You're niether as smart as you think you are when you win nor as dumb as you think you are when you lose.

Dick

[admin]

hello Dick

I agree 100% also at Doc's request along with the
break I always treat myself to a gift after a big win.
For many years at the beginning when the bankroll
was very small and the bills were big that treat was
a trip to the food store, I am being totally honest
The food money was usually used at the track, I was
broke. My reward was to stock up on food after a nice win
I called it the handicaappers diet
You don't win you don't eat .. Sad I know but I
was not well. These days its a special bank account
since I read that a heathly fiancial sitiuation is a good
thing for the mind in this game
I always put something into that bank book

I had a wild swing of emotions on Saturday
from a great high of many wins, a decent showing in the
bris contest having a nice day with Dad and mom at monmouth
and capped by the Belmont

However things turned bad here I seem to have lost a close
friend and thats a terrible loss in my mind
I am in no shape after all those emotions
I stayed away from racing today and worked a run into Penn
instead. I will get back into it but not today

my vote - win and stop and have fun
lose stop and come back when your happy and focused

GS
Bill

[emilio840]

Hi Bill. Sorry to hear about your loss. Its funny on how sad things happen to us when everything is is running smoothly. It always happens when we get our hcping to where we want it. Life is very strange. This is why we should always remember that there is two days which we should never worry about. YESTERDAY AND TOMORROW.

emilio