GP race 8, Wed 1/13 6 furlongs 4+ - Pace and Cap

Bill Lyster · 01-12-2010, 10:29 PM

NW of 3 etc. 13 entered

Bill Lyster · 01-12-2010, 10:31 PM

next batch...

Bill Lyster · 01-12-2010, 10:32 PM

11-13......Gentlemen ---- Start your engines.... (Ladies too of course)

Capcondo · 01-13-2010, 12:25 AM

The 1, 3, 6, 7, and 10 are all early. The 6 looks to slow and the 10 and 1 only showed a sub 22 one time.

7: 21.8 44.6 57 at Saratoga. Last race, held position against 21.8 44.3 at AQU. Last year at GP, won against decent fractions from presser spot.

3: Has run against fast fractions but not in the last 457 days. Don't know the workouts off a seven month layoff. Two back against 22.1 45.2 57. last was bad against fast pace.

Pressers and sustained horses look slow.

My pick is the 7 to win.

justin13892002 · 01-13-2010, 09:12 AM

I see main contenders are 2-3-7-8-10-11.

The 11 has won 3 straight with Jockey up.

The 10 drops in class, and seems to fall late, with a projected dual today, the 10 could fall late.

The 8 moves up in class, and has won coming forward off a 46.03--1:10.31.

The 7 seems to be on or near lead, and does fall late, as shown 2 back, although in the slop. Seems to be losing ground late in ALL of last 8 races. PASS.

The 3, shows excellent works leading up to this, which shows good intent, but hasnt raced since June. Was off 8 months leading up to the May race, and lost by a neck. Has won against a 44.41--1:08.68 pace, but that was awhile back.

The 2, hasn't raced since Sept, and has won against better. But that was closing against a 44.43, 110.71 pace. Will need a complete pace breakdown to win this.

My Top 3 horses IN ORDER are

-

Good Luck

Bill Lyster · 01-13-2010, 02:14 PM

With the 1 and 3 scratched.

FPLR is the 8, but I think the pace setter is the 13 at 22.6-45.6. This makes the 5-6-10-12 non-players. The 7 looks to be a presser that runs early and fades. Probably helps soften up the 13 for the others here.

The 9's record is admirable, looks slow but all races from CRC, but has not proven itself anywhere near this class. OUT

Leaves 2-4-8-11-13.

2 comes from too far out; 4 comes from not quite as far out. Neither threaten the pace setter. Looks like 11 pressures the pace and gets first run with the 8 close behind.

11-8-13 in that order.

Good luck today,

mikesal57 · 01-13-2010, 03:51 PM

a quickie here....11-8-13

mikesal57 · 01-13-2010, 05:47 PM

Nice hit Cap....an 8-1 m/l gets bet to 8/5 and just holds on by a nose

me and bill .....

01-12-2010, 10:29 PM	#1
Bill Lyster Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar" Posts: 2,491	GP race 8, Wed 1/13 6 furlongs 4+ NW of 3 etc. 13 entered Attached Images

01-12-2010, 10:31 PM	#2
Bill Lyster Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar" Posts: 2,491	6-10 next batch... Attached Images

01-12-2010, 10:32 PM	#3
Bill Lyster Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar" Posts: 2,491	last three 11-13......Gentlemen ---- Start your engines.... (Ladies too of course) Attached Images

01-13-2010, 12:25 AM	#4
Capcondo Grade 1 Join Date: Sep 2007 Location: Tempe, Arizona Posts: 600	The 1, 3, 6, 7, and 10 are all early. The 6 looks to slow and the 10 and 1 only showed a sub 22 one time. 7: 21.8 44.6 57 at Saratoga. Last race, held position against 21.8 44.3 at AQU. Last year at GP, won against decent fractions from presser spot. 3: Has run against fast fractions but not in the last 457 days. Don't know the workouts off a seven month layoff. Two back against 22.1 45.2 57. last was bad against fast pace. Pressers and sustained horses look slow. My pick is the 7 to win. __________________ Tim Don't look back. You're not going that way.

01-13-2010, 09:12 AM	#5
justin13892002 Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2009 Posts: 154	I see main contenders are 2-3-7-8-10-11. The 11 has won 3 straight with Jockey up. The 10 drops in class, and seems to fall late, with a projected dual today, the 10 could fall late. The 8 moves up in class, and has won coming forward off a 46.03--1:10.31. The 7 seems to be on or near lead, and does fall late, as shown 2 back, although in the slop. Seems to be losing ground late in ALL of last 8 races. PASS. The 3, shows excellent works leading up to this, which shows good intent, but hasnt raced since June. Was off 8 months leading up to the May race, and lost by a neck. Has won against a 44.41--1:08.68 pace, but that was awhile back. The 2, hasn't raced since Sept, and has won against better. But that was closing against a 44.43, 110.71 pace. Will need a complete pace breakdown to win this. My Top 3 horses IN ORDER are -- Good Luck

01-13-2010, 02:14 PM	#6
Bill Lyster Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar" Posts: 2,491	My analysis: With the 1 and 3 scratched. FPLR is the 8, but I think the pace setter is the 13 at 22.6-45.6. This makes the 5-6-10-12 non-players. The 7 looks to be a presser that runs early and fades. Probably helps soften up the 13 for the others here. The 9's record is admirable, looks slow but all races from CRC, but has not proven itself anywhere near this class. OUT Leaves 2-4-8-11-13. 2 comes from too far out; 4 comes from not quite as far out. Neither threaten the pace setter. Looks like 11 pressures the pace and gets first run with the 8 close behind. 11-8-13 in that order. Good luck today,

01-13-2010, 03:51 PM	#7
mikesal57 Grade 1 Join Date: May 2008 Location: Staten Island, NY Posts: 3,952	a quickie here....11-8-13 __________________ Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack

01-13-2010, 05:47 PM	#8
mikesal57 Grade 1 Join Date: May 2008 Location: Staten Island, NY Posts: 3,952	Nice hit Cap....an 8-1 m/l gets bet to 8/5 and just holds on by a nose me and bill ..... Attached Images __________________ Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack

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