6/17 -- All Over - Pace and Cap

tfm · 06-17-2010, 12:41 PM

CD R1:

try to beat the heavy chalk here (#3), as there's really no value otherwise

exacta: 2 / 3

tri: 2 / 3, 6/ 3, 6

tfm · 06-17-2010, 12:52 PM

That was a bad play. I bet too soon. The 2 and 6 were hit late and were slightly higher odds than the 3. The 2-3 exacta was paying $12 at post ($18 when I bet) and the 3-2 paid $11.

tfm · 06-17-2010, 12:57 PM

BEL R2:

terrible group of, essentially, turf horses running on the dirt

don't know how the 5, Catchapenny K., a closing sprinter will handle the stretchout to 8F. But I think she's the best dirt horse in the race. Hopefully the jock won't have her too close early -- though there doesn't figure to be much pace in the race.

win @ >= 5:1

tfm · 06-17-2010, 01:09 PM

Belmont - Race 1
# Win Place Show
3 $8.00 $4.20 $2.20
5 . $5.20 $2.50
1 . . $2.10

Looks like we're getting into that SECONDITIS mode, again, that we just love so much.

CRC R1: exacta: 2 / 6

tfm · 06-17-2010, 01:20 PM

Calder - Race 1
# Win Place Show
2 $8.00 $3.60 $2.80
5 . $4.40 $3.00
6 . . $2.80

The trend continues.

The 2 ran an incredible race when she broke her maiden going 6F, two races back. She checked severely at the gate, was gapped early, and made a huge late run to win going away in a race that didn't really come back. I thought she was a lock today (going 7F) but I couldn't take 3:1. the 2-6 was paying around 20:1. Next time.

tfm · 06-17-2010, 01:28 PM

BEL R2:

exacta: 5 / 7

tfm · 06-17-2010, 01:38 PM

CRC R2:

not a good idea to play these off the turfers but

exacta: 7 / 5

also think the 9, Spartan General (presently 30:1), has a shot, as he has a WIPEOUT win on dirt at GP, earlier in the year.

tfm · 06-17-2010, 01:56 PM

WO R1:

another 5F race at WO -- these are excellent betting races, typically

tough race, with what appears to be quite a bit of speed

can make the case for a few here

I like the 1, coming off an angle of mine

exacta box: 1 / 3

tfm · 06-17-2010, 02:12 PM

1st and 3rd again.

Woodbine T-bred - Race 1
# Win Place Show
3 $5.20 $3.80 $2.60
4 . $7.40 $4.20
1 . . $3.00

tfm · 06-17-2010, 02:20 PM

CD R3:

two top juicers in the race, with 1st time off the claim runners

Brad Cox (#1) wins 40% 1st after claim
M Maker (#3) wins 30% 1st after claim

I like the 4, Mr. Influential, cutting back

tri: 4 / 1,3 / 1, 3

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06-17-2010, 12:41 PM	#1
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	6/17 -- All Over CD R1: try to beat the heavy chalk here (#3), as there's really no value otherwise exacta: 2 / 3 tri: 2 / 3, 6/ 3, 6 Last edited by tfm; 06-17-2010 at 12:43 PM.

06-17-2010, 12:52 PM	#2
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	That was a bad play. I bet too soon. The 2 and 6 were hit late and were slightly higher odds than the 3. The 2-3 exacta was paying $12 at post ($18 when I bet) and the 3-2 paid $11.

06-17-2010, 12:57 PM	#3
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	BEL R2: terrible group of, essentially, turf horses running on the dirt don't know how the 5, Catchapenny K., a closing sprinter will handle the stretchout to 8F. But I think she's the best dirt horse in the race. Hopefully the jock won't have her too close early -- though there doesn't figure to be much pace in the race. win @ >= 5:1

06-17-2010, 01:09 PM	#4
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	Belmont - Race 1 # Win Place Show 3 $8.00 $4.20 $2.20 5 . $5.20 $2.50 1 . . $2.10 Looks like we're getting into that SECONDITIS mode, again, that we just love so much. CRC R1: exacta: 2 / 6

06-17-2010, 01:20 PM	#5
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	Calder - Race 1 # Win Place Show 2 $8.00 $3.60 $2.80 5 . $4.40 $3.00 6 . . $2.80 The trend continues. The 2 ran an incredible race when she broke her maiden going 6F, two races back. She checked severely at the gate, was gapped early, and made a huge late run to win going away in a race that didn't really come back. I thought she was a lock today (going 7F) but I couldn't take 3:1. the 2-6 was paying around 20:1. Next time.

06-17-2010, 01:28 PM	#6
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	BEL R2: exacta: 5 / 7

06-17-2010, 01:38 PM	#7
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	CRC R2: not a good idea to play these off the turfers but exacta: 7 / 5 also think the 9, Spartan General (presently 30:1), has a shot, as he has a WIPEOUT win on dirt at GP, earlier in the year.

06-17-2010, 01:56 PM	#8
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	WO R1: another 5F race at WO -- these are excellent betting races, typically tough race, with what appears to be quite a bit of speed can make the case for a few here I like the 1, coming off an angle of mine exacta box: 1 / 3

06-17-2010, 02:12 PM	#9
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	1st and 3rd again. Woodbine T-bred - Race 1 # Win Place Show 3 $5.20 $3.80 $2.60 4 . $7.40 $4.20 1 . . $3.00

06-17-2010, 02:20 PM	#10
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	CD R3: two top juicers in the race, with 1st time off the claim runners Brad Cox (#1) wins 40% 1st after claim M Maker (#3) wins 30% 1st after claim I like the 4, Mr. Influential, cutting back tri: 4 / 1,3 / 1, 3