6/18 - Pace and Cap

tfm · 06-18-2010, 01:52 PM

WO R1:

ebox: 3 / 4

tfm · 06-18-2010, 02:06 PM

Thought the 3 had a good shot to beat the 1/2 Asmussen favorite. That exacta was double what it paid. Lost a stretch duel photo.

Still, 2:1 in a 6 horse field with two stickouts is not bad at all.

Woodbine T-bred - Race 1
# Win Place Show
4 $3.00 $2.20 $2.10
3 . $3.90 $2.90
7 . . $2.80

$2.00 Exacta 4-3 $12.20

tfm · 06-18-2010, 02:08 PM

CRC R1:

#5, For B. and W., is a HUGE overlay at 9:1 presently.

Doubt the 6 gets the distance (and wins), even on an off track, and hard to tell why the 8 is 2nd choice.

exacta: 5 / 6

though if the 5 stays around 10:1, she's worth a win bet

tfm · 06-18-2010, 02:20 PM

MTH R2:

#5, Fancy Up, appears to have a pace advantage over these.

win @ >= 7:2

tfm · 06-18-2010, 02:24 PM

5:2 no bet

and NO RUN

tfm · 06-18-2010, 02:31 PM

WO R2:

I think the even money favorite, #1, is vulnerable here. She can win but she needs pretty much a perfect trip to do so. Try to beat her with the 5 and the 7.

exacta: 5, 7 / 1

tfm · 06-18-2010, 02:37 PM

Lovely

The 7 duels with the 3:5 shot 1 and drops her midstretch. The 1 quit like a dog. The 5 loses a ridiculous photo for place.

So, even if I'd played this 'correctly', boxing the 5 and 7, as well, I'd have gotten SKUNKED, nonetheless.

ha ha ha

Woodbine T-bred - Race 2
# Win Place Show
7 $11.20 $5.30 $3.70
2 . $23.50 $11.50
5 . . $3.50

tfm · 06-18-2010, 02:51 PM

MTH R3:

exacta: 7 / 6, 3

tfm · 06-18-2010, 02:57 PM

The fighter 3 had just enough to get up for 2nd.

Monmouth Park - Race 3
# Win Place Show
7 $8.20 $4.60 $3.80
3 . $6.20 $5.00
2 . . $6.40

$2.00 Exacta 7-3 $47.20

tfm · 06-18-2010, 03:02 PM

WO R3:

#10, Secret Skills, wiped them out last time and is being overlooked at 8:1.

bet to win is she stays there (or goes up)

exacta: 10 / 8, 11, otherwise

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06-18-2010, 01:52 PM	#1
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	6/18 WO R1: ebox: 3 / 4

06-18-2010, 02:06 PM	#2
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	Thought the 3 had a good shot to beat the 1/2 Asmussen favorite. That exacta was double what it paid. Lost a stretch duel photo. Still, 2:1 in a 6 horse field with two stickouts is not bad at all. Woodbine T-bred - Race 1 # Win Place Show 4 $3.00 $2.20 $2.10 3 . $3.90 $2.90 7 . . $2.80 $2.00 Exacta 4-3 $12.20

06-18-2010, 02:08 PM	#3
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	CRC R1: #5, For B. and W., is a HUGE overlay at 9:1 presently. Doubt the 6 gets the distance (and wins), even on an off track, and hard to tell why the 8 is 2nd choice. exacta: 5 / 6 though if the 5 stays around 10:1, she's worth a win bet

06-18-2010, 02:20 PM	#4
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	MTH R2: #5, Fancy Up, appears to have a pace advantage over these. win @ >= 7:2

06-18-2010, 02:24 PM	#5
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	5:2 no bet and NO RUN

06-18-2010, 02:31 PM	#6
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	WO R2: I think the even money favorite, #1, is vulnerable here. She can win but she needs pretty much a perfect trip to do so. Try to beat her with the 5 and the 7. exacta: 5, 7 / 1

06-18-2010, 02:37 PM	#7
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	Lovely The 7 duels with the 3:5 shot 1 and drops her midstretch. The 1 quit like a dog. The 5 loses a ridiculous photo for place. So, even if I'd played this 'correctly', boxing the 5 and 7, as well, I'd have gotten SKUNKED, nonetheless. ha ha ha Woodbine T-bred - Race 2 # Win Place Show 7 $11.20 $5.30 $3.70 2 . $23.50 $11.50 5 . . $3.50

06-18-2010, 02:51 PM	#8
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	MTH R3: exacta: 7 / 6, 3

06-18-2010, 02:57 PM	#9
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	The fighter 3 had just enough to get up for 2nd. Monmouth Park - Race 3 # Win Place Show 7 $8.20 $4.60 $3.80 3 . $6.20 $5.00 2 . . $6.40 $2.00 Exacta 7-3 $47.20

06-18-2010, 03:02 PM	#10
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	WO R3: #10, Secret Skills, wiped them out last time and is being overlooked at 8:1. bet to win is she stays there (or goes up) exacta: 10 / 8, 11, otherwise