Jay and the Fat Man Woodbine Wed. - Pace and Cap

Jay Kassa · 07-07-2010, 06:46 PM

checking in late here 1st Race I like #7 Iolli , not much value , passing to start

tfm · 07-07-2010, 06:54 PM

Just got in after a food run. Didn't miss much in the 1st.

Jay Kassa · 07-07-2010, 06:57 PM

see if we can hit some here.

I've got a decent one in the 6th, looking at this card. Let me know if you need the PPs

tfm · 07-07-2010, 06:59 PM

I didn't look at the card in advance. I never do.

R2:

here's the chart of the last race that most of the field is coming out of:

Mallory is the only speed.

Appleby ran well last out but she had a 3 horse duel setting her up.

To find a good race by the 1, you have to go back to last August at WO on poly.

Bahen is up on Six Roses, not Betty Williams, which is a HUGE upgrade. Though I don't understand why they're taking the blinkers off on this horse. She doesn't need an equipment change, just a decently timed ride.

@ >= 10:1 I'm playing the 4 to win. Otherwise, exacta box: 2 / 4

Jay Kassa · 07-07-2010, 07:12 PM

agreed

Mallory is a win play @ > 3-1

She is also a strong show play if she continues to be this light in that pool.
Right now easily paying $3 in the show pool.

Jay Kassa · 07-07-2010, 07:14 PM

Reade Baker has an excellent 'program, but I've noticed he is well-bet up there.

tfm · 07-07-2010, 07:19 PM

Bad idea with the blinkers off but @ 19:1, I had to take a shot.

And, I noted the 1 had a good 2 turn race over the track --- you just had to go back to last August to find it.

So, tossing the even money shot returns NADA.

Jay Kassa · 07-07-2010, 07:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tfm

So, tossing the even money shot returns NADA.

damn.

I got some back with a show bet on the

. Good show price for a lone speed who isn't a quitter. - I know some people don't play show at all. -Ive noticed I can think along with the pools - IF - the horse in question isn't one of the top 2 crowd choices(then late action is too unpredictable)

glad i didn't wheel mallory on top. You saw the old form with the

horse, I wasn't crazy about Carrignan(who is now 3/7 wins with Simms Last60days)

-EDIT WAS it necessary for De Silva to take the #3horse out to the parking lot on the turn??

tfm · 07-07-2010, 07:41 PM

R3:

another pain in the ass big field race

I don't like the favorite here, #7, here.

I think the 4 is a stickout here. His maiden win going 7F on the turf is exceptional. If he goes to 4:1, I'll bet him to win (and try to avoid making some mistakes). Otherwise any of the 3,5,6, or 10 could run 2nd in the exacta. I particularly like the 10 of these but he's surprisingly low at 9:1.

Narrow this down to a 2 number exacta: 4 / 5, 10

Jay Kassa · 07-07-2010, 07:44 PM

passing this race. I like the 7(favorite), and I feel this is his class vs. statebreds in lower allowances. Looking at the 4 now that you mention him.

07-07-2010, 06:46 PM	#1
Jay Kassa AlwNW2X Join Date: Dec 2009 Posts: 24	Jay and the Fat Man Woodbine Wed. checking in late here 1st Race I like #7 Iolli , not much value , passing to start

07-07-2010, 06:59 PM	#4
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	I didn't look at the card in advance. I never do. R2: here's the chart of the last race that most of the field is coming out of: Mallory is the only speed. Appleby ran well last out but she had a 3 horse duel setting her up. To find a good race by the 1, you have to go back to last August at WO on poly. Bahen is up on Six Roses, not Betty Williams, which is a HUGE upgrade. Though I don't understand why they're taking the blinkers off on this horse. She doesn't need an equipment change, just a decently timed ride. @ >= 10:1 I'm playing the 4 to win. Otherwise, exacta box: 2 / 4 Attached Images Last edited by tfm; 07-07-2010 at 07:11 PM.

07-07-2010, 07:41 PM	#9
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	R3: another pain in the ass big field race I don't like the favorite here, #7, here. I think the 4 is a stickout here. His maiden win going 7F on the turf is exceptional. If he goes to 4:1, I'll bet him to win (and try to avoid making some mistakes). Otherwise any of the 3,5,6, or 10 could run 2nd in the exacta. I particularly like the 10 of these but he's surprisingly low at 9:1. Narrow this down to a 2 number exacta: 4 / 5, 10 Last edited by tfm; 07-07-2010 at 07:43 PM.

07-07-2010, 06:54 PM	#2
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	Just got in after a food run. Didn't miss much in the 1st.

07-07-2010, 06:57 PM	#3
Jay Kassa AlwNW2X Join Date: Dec 2009 Posts: 24	see if we can hit some here. I've got a decent one in the 6th, looking at this card. Let me know if you need the PPs

07-07-2010, 07:12 PM	#5
Jay Kassa AlwNW2X Join Date: Dec 2009 Posts: 24	agreed Mallory is a win play @ > 3-1 She is also a strong show play if she continues to be this light in that pool. Right now easily paying $3 in the show pool.

07-07-2010, 07:14 PM	#6
Jay Kassa AlwNW2X Join Date: Dec 2009 Posts: 24	Reade Baker has an excellent 'program, but I've noticed he is well-bet up there.

07-07-2010, 07:19 PM	#7
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	Bad idea with the blinkers off but @ 19:1, I had to take a shot. And, I noted the 1 had a good 2 turn race over the track --- you just had to go back to last August to find it. So, tossing the even money shot returns NADA.

07-07-2010, 07:44 PM	#10
Jay Kassa AlwNW2X Join Date: Dec 2009 Posts: 24	passing this race. I like the 7(favorite), and I feel this is his class vs. statebreds in lower allowances. Looking at the 4 now that you mention him.