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| Previous 'Handicapping Discussion' Forum General Handicapping Discussion |
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#1 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Saratoga Springs
Posts: 1,547
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Have you ever wanted to say okay enough already!!!
Here is my Contest races for PA pick 4 Aqu late pick 4 races and yet I did not even come close and yet somehow I should have nailed it , so why did I not have it hammered, no ego here, but it seems my wagerig skills are still not where they should be, apparently.
here are my picks $3 Pick-4: 3,7,8,9,12 // 4,8 // 2,4 // 1,9,12 Bets: 60 Total: $180 $5 Pick-4: 8 // 4,8 // 4 // 1,9 Bets: 4 Total: $20 And the results were $2 Pick 4 8/11/14-3-6-4/6/8 (4 correct) 8 / 3 / 6 / 8 So very simple and yet look at my RDSS capping and tell me how I missed it, not using the 3rd rated horse at all is my guess, never hid 1 single horse this time, but should I have, Not this time I think thanks all patrick 441.50
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http://pktruckdriver.blogspot.com/ |
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#2 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Rochester NY
Posts: 196
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Pat
--why did you use the #3 & #7 in the first leg ??? |
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#3 | |
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BetMix User
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 2,433
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pktruckdriver:
Quote:
In this pastime the numbers, figures, software and misinformation can be your worst enemy. Unfortunately, we are all for the most part, forced to rely on them because that's all we have.. One can never account for all the hidden variables and unforseen things that are present in so many of the races. The game is and always has been about value. It's a percentage game. Weather, short fields, poor race quality, improper bets and lack of discipline will lead you down a path of destruction. The game is an arduous grind and takes an enormous amount of patience and may not be worth the possible rewards you may achieve for the time invested if you are a diligent and highly disciplined player. My guess would be that less then 3% of those that play the game fall into the category of being a consistent and meaningful winner. I know it's a hard pill to swallow but that's the facts Jack. Last edited by partsnut; 12-17-2011 at 06:52 PM. |
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#4 | |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Saratoga Springs
Posts: 1,547
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Quote:
I am not using real money here, just my pride in picking, and yet again the program had the horses all in the top 3-4 BL/BL , Top 3 I think, and yet I did not wager properly to get a win for this day, when I should have, except for inadequate wagering, do you agree? No beat up here, as early no real ego to hurt, just trying to better myself with better wagering idea's, should I have hidden any plays today as I did last week and lost then too? Congrats to you in this contest Sir Happy Holidays Patrick
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http://pktruckdriver.blogspot.com/ Last edited by pktruckdriver; 12-17-2011 at 07:04 PM. |
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#5 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Rochester NY
Posts: 196
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Pat
YOU had all the horses in the top 3 !!!
--nice job ! --get 'em tomorrow !! ![]()
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#6 |
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AlwNW3X
Join Date: Jan 2011
Posts: 49
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There is no sense in worrying about one series of races. Sometimes in a effort to get value, we all reach (or hide) horses that maybe we should not have.
I don't have this card and overall your line selections look good. Except for the last leg, myself I avoid using turf lines for dirt races. If I have to use those I discount their worth in the readouts. |
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#7 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Saratoga Springs
Posts: 1,547
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Okay the 3 had the best works a 120 , and many of them over the avg 3 fur and the 7 is dropping down and was kinda in the hunt last out, but faded, so this type of race I left him in.
Normally this race is a pass, but with the contest we play all we can and hope for the best, sometimes. Hope I answered your question Mike patrick
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http://pktruckdriver.blogspot.com/ |
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#8 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Saratoga Springs
Posts: 1,547
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Another day to try for a nice hit , but first thank you all for your responses there were all very great to read and have given me an idea or two, just copy Rcihard, just kidding, honestly it has given me a stay the course pep talk, you say what....well
I did have the winners all in the top 3 , last week and horse that I should have had but the program did not have, so hopefully before long I may be to find a niche and hit 3-4 in a row , the same as losing a few in a row. May you all have happy and most of all safe holidays GLA patrick
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http://pktruckdriver.blogspot.com/ |
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#9 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2010
Posts: 1,676
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Thanks you guys. I really did get lucky.
One of the other guys hit it also for a 5.00 play. Patrick, with a little luck I hope I can finish in the top 10. This is the first time that I have entered a contest like this. My goal is a respectable finish, anything else would be icing on the cake. Again I thank you guys. |
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