Multi-Screening - Finding confidence since Equibase changes on 2/1 - Pace and Cap

RichieP · 03-03-2006, 07:32 PM

I did NOT bet this race today. Busy cleaning up my yard after the ice storm that hit.

Program - Validator 3
Guidelines from Howard- Beaten lenghts finish 7.5 or less - to consider an xtracted line the horse should show high speed to the 2c of the route and be on the lead or less than a lenght off it.
------------------------------------------------------------------------

My mind can NOT process the large speed ratings at many tracks that are showing up in MANY races. I am sorry a horse in a 7k claiming race does NOT run 100 speed ratings. I don't give a **** what the software shows ok?

The above lack of pattern recognition was the biggest single factor in me losing almost a thousand dollars of real money in the 3 weeks that followed Feb 1st and Equibase's changed Sr scale and variant change.

In talking with Bill and Eric last weekend I realized the both of them were suggesting kind of the same things to me but in different "language".

Bill suggested that I scroll thru races looking for races where the ratings seemed normal at least as far as from what I remembered Val 3 to " look" like
before 2/1.

Eric told me that he was amazed that I could look at a few cards of races and pick out a couple of value races after QUICKLY selecting pacelines with NO reference to models,profiles etc.

What does all the above mean? I have found something that sort of combines what both gentlemen were telling me. It pertains to the speed ratings. I have NO reasonable explanation for this PATTERN yet it IS there in spades man. Here it is:

THERE ARE CERTAIN TRACKS AND SPECIFIC DISTANCES AND CLASSES WHERE THE SPEED RATINGS MAKE TOTAL SENSE. THEY MIMIC THE LOOK OF THE SOFTWARE BEFORE THE CHANGES HAPPENED ON 2/1.

LOOK at the Santa Anita race I posted yesterday. Maiden claimer- 7f- speed ratings- 60's and low 70's. PERFECT. Open a followup and you see Howard beckoning us to work these maiden races as " all the horse's have speed ratings in the 70's". Same EXACT look and feel of yesterday's "post 2/1" race at SA.

Using the "multi-screening" process I worked thru in that race brings back all the sensory "feels" needed by an instinctual wagerer like myself yo make good wager decisions.

Fast forward to today at Aqueduct.

Race 9 - 30k claimers - 6f - # 5 is scratched

As you are about to see the HIGH speed rating following paceline selection guidelines is 91. Certainly very much in line with what I remembera much better claimer to run at a top flight circuit like NY.

Feeling a bit more comfortable already and I just scrolled thru the field once

Horse 1 paceline

RichieP · 03-03-2006, 07:33 PM

horse 2 paceline

RichieP · 03-03-2006, 07:34 PM

horse 3 paceline

RichieP · 03-03-2006, 07:36 PM

horse 4 paceline

RichieP · 03-03-2006, 07:36 PM

horse 6 paceline

RichieP · 03-03-2006, 07:37 PM

horse 7 paceline

RichieP · 03-03-2006, 07:37 PM

horse 8 paceline

RichieP · 03-03-2006, 07:38 PM

horse 9 paceline

RichieP · 03-03-2006, 07:43 PM

gonna hide the guy marked "delete" as he ranks worst in ALL thre categories
tot en
primary line score
supp line score

this is the place horse btw

RichieP · 03-03-2006, 07:50 PM

hiding the # 7 as his balance is way too high

REMEMBER the process? 6 contenders - toss Balance 10 and higher
5 contenders - toss balance of 9 and higher

NOT saying this as Gospel. Just MY way of working races for YEARS and bringing it all together again

hiding # 7 as shown by "delete"

03-03-2006, 07:32 PM	#1
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,019	Multi-Screening - Finding confidence since Equibase changes on 2/1 I did NOT bet this race today. Busy cleaning up my yard after the ice storm that hit. Program - Validator 3 Guidelines from Howard- Beaten lenghts finish 7.5 or less - to consider an xtracted line the horse should show high speed to the 2c of the route and be on the lead or less than a lenght off it. ------------------------------------------------------------------------ My mind can NOT process the large speed ratings at many tracks that are showing up in MANY races. I am sorry a horse in a 7k claiming race does NOT run 100 speed ratings. I don't give a **** what the software shows ok? The above lack of pattern recognition was the biggest single factor in me losing almost a thousand dollars of real money in the 3 weeks that followed Feb 1st and Equibase's changed Sr scale and variant change. In talking with Bill and Eric last weekend I realized the both of them were suggesting kind of the same things to me but in different "language". Bill suggested that I scroll thru races looking for races where the ratings seemed normal at least as far as from what I remembered Val 3 to " look" like before 2/1. Eric told me that he was amazed that I could look at a few cards of races and pick out a couple of value races after QUICKLY selecting pacelines with NO reference to models,profiles etc. What does all the above mean? I have found something that sort of combines what both gentlemen were telling me. It pertains to the speed ratings. I have NO reasonable explanation for this PATTERN yet it IS there in spades man. Here it is: THERE ARE CERTAIN TRACKS AND SPECIFIC DISTANCES AND CLASSES WHERE THE SPEED RATINGS MAKE TOTAL SENSE. THEY MIMIC THE LOOK OF THE SOFTWARE BEFORE THE CHANGES HAPPENED ON 2/1. LOOK at the Santa Anita race I posted yesterday. Maiden claimer- 7f- speed ratings- 60's and low 70's. PERFECT. Open a followup and you see Howard beckoning us to work these maiden races as " all the horse's have speed ratings in the 70's". Same EXACT look and feel of yesterday's "post 2/1" race at SA. Using the "multi-screening" process I worked thru in that race brings back all the sensory "feels" needed by an instinctual wagerer like myself yo make good wager decisions. Fast forward to today at Aqueduct. Race 9 - 30k claimers - 6f - # 5 is scratched As you are about to see the HIGH speed rating following paceline selection guidelines is 91. Certainly very much in line with what I remembera much better claimer to run at a top flight circuit like NY. Feeling a bit more comfortable already and I just scrolled thru the field once Horse 1 paceline Attached Images

03-03-2006, 07:33 PM	#2
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,019	horse 2 paceline Attached Images

03-03-2006, 07:34 PM	#3
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,019	horse 3 paceline Attached Images

03-03-2006, 07:36 PM	#4
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,019	horse 4 paceline Attached Images

03-03-2006, 07:36 PM	#5
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,019	horse 6 paceline Attached Images

03-03-2006, 07:37 PM	#6
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,019	horse 7 paceline Attached Images

03-03-2006, 07:37 PM	#7
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,019	horse 8 paceline Attached Images

03-03-2006, 07:38 PM	#8
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,019	horse 9 paceline Attached Images

03-03-2006, 07:43 PM	#9
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,019	gonna hide the guy marked "delete" as he ranks worst in ALL thre categories tot en primary line score supp line score this is the place horse btw Attached Images

03-03-2006, 07:50 PM	#10
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,019	hiding the # 7 as his balance is way too high REMEMBER the process? 6 contenders - toss Balance 10 and higher 5 contenders - toss balance of 9 and higher NOT saying this as Gospel. Just MY way of working races for YEARS and bringing it all together again hiding # 7 as shown by "delete" Attached Images