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Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) Interactive Teaching & Learning - Race Conditions, Contenders, Pacelines, Advanced Concepts, Betting ...

 
 
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Old 05-06-2013, 07:31 PM   #1
Aldens_dad
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Feb 2012
Posts: 102
selecting pace lines

I have been usind RDSS with moderate success well sometimes. I have been spending alot of time in the library lately just trying to educate myself and better understand the software and what its telling me. I just finished reading "The Pace Manual" and I figured out that I cannot pick or have trouble selecting pace lines in past performances I mean if you can't pick the same, consistent pace line how will you ever get to the next level. So I found a race that had me scratching my head whether to use this line or that one. Here are my rules that I use when selecting a pace line.

1. try to select same distance and surface
2. last line is my first choice unless a bad trip or wrong conditions (rule 1)
3. don't select last race if its the highest adj. SR and TE
4. don't select maiden wins unless only + race
5. only select races were horse was not beat more then 7.5 lengths
6. try not to go past 100 days

These are my guidelines that I have written down when doing a race but there always seems to be an expection to the rule.

Any who this is getting a bit long winded but I really could use some guidance here.

I chose this race because it only had 6 horse and a couple were good scenarios that seem to fall in the exception rules.



Horse 1 I chose the 2nd line since the first line is a route and today is a sprint and it was sloppy conditions. The horse has been off for 150 days so going to the 2nd line seems fair but its a maiden win race and boasts the highest adj SR and TE.

Should I use the first line or go back to the 5th line where its a sprint and finished 3rd?
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